Cold war 2.0

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The video you probably wouldn't like too much.
However I will post it since this can be quite telling of what is too come in the big picture.

 

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Russo-Ukrainian War detailed map


For weeks Kupiansk at the east of Ukraine was defined as open battle. While now it is returned back to "full Ukrainian control" on the map.
What suggests that the Russians failed to take this crucial junction city.

 

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Russian oil tanker breaks up, another in distress on Black Sea

 

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Germany’s Scholz loses historic confidence vote

It is official, there will be snap elections.

 

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Never liked Scholz due to his wishy washy support for Ukraine. Although I suspect the other parties are no better (and possibly worse) when it comes to this issue.

 

[Red Herring]

Never liked Scholz due to his wishy washy support for Ukraine. Although I suspect the other parties are no better (and possibly worse) when it comes to this issue.

Nah, the far-left BSW and the far-right AfD are the two pro-Russian parties. Merz would likely support Ukraine more than Scholz did and the Greens are also stronger on Ukraine support than the SPD. So the next government, whether CDU-SPD or CDU-Greens will likely be stronger on this issue than Scholz was.

But let's be fair here and put things in perspective. To quote the Ukraine Support Tracker:

Currently, a significant gap exists on the European side between the committed €241 billion in aid and the €125 billion actually allocated. The US has already allocated €88 billion of its committed €119 billion.

The explanation for this gap on the European side lies in the substantial increase in aid commitments in October of around €52 billion, 35 from the EU and its institutions, intended for budget support to the Ukrainian government. The US has promised a good €18 billion for budget support.

Europe had already paid more to Ukraine than the US promised, let alone paid. For obvious reasons. Measured by percentage of GDP the biggest support comes from Finnland and Sweden (who both have a strong interest in keeping Russia at bay) as well as the UK. Europe is Ukraine's main supporter in terms of cash. And Germany is the most important financer within Europe. But as far as supplies go Germany's own army has been undersupplied for decades, our military equipment is a joke. Plus Scholz is obviously very afraid of escalating too much by helping Ukraine attack targets within Russia with German mid-range missiles (something that might change under the new government).

 

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Germany’s Merz rips into his rivals — but might have to work with them soon

 

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Germany — 2025 general election


If we go by polling average the next government will be CDU+SPD.

 

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Trump sees ‘a little progress’ toward ending war in Ukraine

Russia to prepare for war with NATO


The real question is what happens if Russians fundamentally decide that there wouldn't be a deal of any kind (since they didn't do what they set to do). Here the whole collective west will have to stand united if they want anything done.





EU to discuss closure of Russian bases with Syrian rebels

 

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Ukraine assassinates Russian chemical weapons chief in Moscow bombing

Russia: Bomb kills senior general Igor Kirillov in Moscow

 

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Canada finance minister quits after clash with Trudeau

As hours go by there are hints that this will end in snap elections.

 

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Meloni to EU: We must be friends with Trump


Fundamentally this is true, since open hostility wouldn't bring anything good to the table for either side.
While putting focus on none democratic countries seems as much better game plan on the long run (for both sides of the Atlantic).

 

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World War III is already underway. In Ukraine.

About the realities of what is going on in the field.



Ukraine, eyeing post-war elections, looks to European models

EU’s moment of truth on Ukraine is fast approaching

Hungary on path of no return under Orbán, warns Polish minister

Tusk: Poland is ‘frontline state’ that can’t ‘give everything’ to Ukrainian defense

 

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Nah, the far-left BSW and the far-right AfD are the two pro-Russian parties. Merz would likely support Ukraine more than Scholz did and the Greens are also stronger on Ukraine support than the SPD. So the next government, whether CDU-SPD or CDU-Greens will likely be stronger on this issue than Scholz was.

Germany: CDU's Spahn says non-integrated Syrians should go


If I can ask: what is most likely to be behind this? Is this mostly electoral rhetoric or is this genuine political desire ?
(I mean whatever it is it will be copied all over the union)

 

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Germany — 2025 general election

When I see numbers and rhetoric from CDU my mind starts to wonder:

SPD+Greens have 30% and their chunk is growing.
Linke like the last time will make it indirectly and they have 3%
BSW is at 6 percent.

While it is quite possible that FDP wouldn't make it, what means that their 4% are going to all other parties.

What means that if every left wing party gains something like 2 to 3 percent on average over the next 2 months that would allow formation of pure left government. Is that politically possible I am not sure but that would be total system shock (that wouldn't be that much impossible to produce). After all this is what would allow the incumbent Chancellor to remain in power.

 

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Putin vows no new Russian gas deal for EU as Orbán, Fico plead for extension

Germany fortifies judiciary to thwart far-right attacks

UK election watchdog wants new donation laws to counter Elon Musk

 

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