Trump vs. Biden

[Julius_Van_Der_Beak]

Get professional counseling.

Buuuurnnn

 

[ceecee]

I found it interesting that, out of the 105 women in the US House of Representatives, 90 are Democrats. Where are all the Republican women?

The idea of a woman in a GOP leadership position (speaker of the house/majority leader, VP) is laughable to the GOP, mostly white, male establishment. So I assume most run as Democrats since there isn't that much difference and more advancement opportunity. People can argue this point but the makeup of the GOP speaks for itself.

I do know that POC GOP candidates get a ton of party money (John James in Michigan is a good example) but they will eventually find the brick wall to leadership roles too.

 

[Virtual ghost]

There is plenty of polls around but they all have the same flaws.


1. Do they correctly represent rural areas
2. How many people honestly answer them due to political reasons
3. The turnout will probably be the actual kingmaker in the end (what the pandemic complicates)

 

[Virtual ghost]

Far from impossible.
Just tilt polls in 4 states by a few points since some people aren't honest or didn't vote in the end.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Polls

Minnesota: Biden 2x +8

 

[The Cat]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Polls


Pennsylvania: Biden +6

Wisconsin: Biden +8

Michigan: Biden +11

 

[Jaguar]

About a quarter of voters in the Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, 26 percent, said they believed Trump was "most responsible" for the violence in cities, while 20 percent laid blame on police brutality. Just 5 percent of voters said that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden was "most responsible" for the unrest.

"The civil unrest has become a significant issue in the country though it ranks behind the virus and the economy and so politicians might overplay it," said Harvard CAPS-Harris polling director Mark Penn.

Trump and Biden separately visited Kenosha this week amid protests and rioting there following the shooting of Blake, with the candidate's visits underscoring their different approach to the unrest.

9 in 10 voters say civil unrest a key issue in presidential race: poll | TheHill

 

[The Cat]

I just love how we're getting to deal with all the terrifying future horror of a possible Biden Presidency, right now in the actual Trump residency. It's so efficient. With Obama I had to wait 8 whole years for all the horrible stuff his administration was supposedly doing to the country, so if I really think about it, Trump is such a great resident, he's managed to take all the past possible horror and all of the future possible horror, and manufacture ACTUAL horror RIGHT NOW in the present. Of course he's the law and order candidate, the laws of physics and the ordering of time itself has been altered. weird.

 

[Julius_Van_Der_Beak]

About a quarter of voters in the Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, 26 percent, said they believed Trump was "most responsible" for the violence in cities, while 20 percent laid blame on police brutality. Just 5 percent of voters said that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden was "most responsible" for the unrest.

"The civil unrest has become a significant issue in the country though it ranks behind the virus and the economy and so politicians might overplay it," said Harvard CAPS-Harris polling director Mark Penn.

Trump and Biden separately visited Kenosha this week amid protests and rioting there following the shooting of Blake, with the candidate's visits underscoring their different approach to the unrest.

9 in 10 voters say civil unrest a key issue in presidential race: poll | TheHill

Hey, that's some positive news. Maybe I can drink things other than green space walrus milk after all.

 

[Jaguar]

North Carolina kicks off mail voting as requests spike

And so it begins . . .

 

[Jonny]

 

[Virtual ghost]

There is one detail that is really "bothering" me. Back in mid June there was poll in Arkansas that said only Trump +2. However no one dared to double check this over the summer and they are doing gazilion national polls instead.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Plus I heard something that Trump is pulling ads out of Arizona for now.

 

[Jaguar]

I can't even find a recent poll in Arkansas. But then who would want to live there?

 

[Virtual ghost]

I can't even find a recent poll in Arkansas. But then who would want to live there?

That is my point, there is only this Trump +2 and that is it for months.
However this is basically "shock poll" for so red state. This is why it is especially strange that no one checked this out more.

 

[Jaguar]

I'd be surprised if it went Biden:

Arkansas Presidential Election Voting History

 

[Virtual ghost]

Exactly, but the pollster just left that Trump +2 as it is +22.

 

[Jaguar]

Exactly, but the pollster just left that Trump +2 as it is +22.

Did I miss it? Where is + 22?

 

[Virtual ghost]

Did I miss it? Where is + 22?

Read what I said. There is only one poll back from mid June, which says that Trump has only +2 in Arkansas (deep red state). Therefore it would be logical that someone in all this time makes a new polls to clear this out, since this is shocking result. However they just left it as if this is Trump +22.


270 to win Arkansas

358 Arkansas


I mean if this is indeed competitive for some weird reason that is actually pretty big deal.