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Random Politics Thread

Jonny

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I hope you wanted Trump in '24, because you got him and only him now. Without the raid, DeSantis is possible, with it he is not.

If you wanted Trump to be over, and I mean really over, you would have left him alone after 2020. The continued outsize coverage of him is the same free media he was getting in '15.

The craziest things about all this, are that the Biden administration a) couldn't anticipate the political blowback for this raid (despite it being an unprecedented action in the history of US politics) b) deliberately chose now to do this (happening on the anniv of Nixons resignation speaks to deliberation) when they were already enjoying a relative narrative turnaround.

Not to mention that the FBI pretext for this was the mishandling of classified docs (a la Clinton bleaching the server in her closet circa 2016) and not something more serious, which is guaranteed to be more divisive than necessary. If the FBI needed the docs and knew where they were why not send a subpoena? It would accomplish the same thing, get the docs, without aggravating the political environment. But its smells like the aggravation was the point. Punishing Trump, and those that voted for him has become more important than defeating him. Thats the only lens through which the decision to do this makes sense politically. You know the energy that flowed into the left after the fall of Roe? You just gave that to the Republicans with this. The conversation going into Nov could have been about abortion etc.... Now its about the weaponization of the US judicial apparatus against a political opponent never before seen in this American Republic. Thats all the short term calculus.

Long term it gets even dumber. Remember when Harry Reid, the former Senate Majority leader for the Democrats under Obama, frustrated with trying to get judicial appointments past the GOP, decided to get rid of the 60 vote threshold (filibuster essentially) for all judicial appointments besides SCOTUS. Thats how you get a stacked GOP SCOTUS. This raid strikes me as the same thing. You've guaranteed the GOP will immediately being a political investigation of the Biden Admin once they retake some or all of congress. You've also guaranteed these sorts of raids on Democrats.

There is a sliding scale between the imagined perfect civil election, where transfer of power happens smoothly, everything is conducted transparently, and both the winning and losing sides have reason to believe the process was fair, and one political party en masse taking machetes to cut the right hands off their opponents so they can't vote a la Africa. This raid but the latest removal of a safety between those two election scenarios just mentioned. Legitimizing the use of ones gov't against political opponents is one more notch on the ratchet towards mass political violence.

If one thing has surprised me about this it has been how quickly the GOP have unified around Trump b/c of it. Even the Larry Hogan moderates have supported him. I don't know that I ever saw the party this united behind him while he was in office.

So thanks I guess?

So, leave Trump alone or you’ll nominate him again? This is such a stupid argument. Of course I don’t want Trump anywhere near the White House again, but I couldn’t care less about this political spin. Trump should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law for any and all crimes for which there is sufficient evidence, and if he is in possession of any sensitive US documents that do not belong to him, then the government should absolutely take steps to recover them. Any president who does the shit he did should face the same consequences, Democrat or Republican or whomever.

If Republicans take control of the house and maybe the Senate, I would welcome any investigations into Hunter Biden or whomever, and would vehemently oppose any attempt to prevent the continued investigations of Trump and others in their party. But so far Republican investigations like Benghazi, etc., have ended up nowhere. It’s almost like they’re lying for political purposes…

This shouldn’t be a race to the bottom. We should strive for better.
 
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yeghor

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I find this gentleman called Garland Nixon to be quite a level headed guy, bumped into him on twitter mostly due to his tweets about Ukraine.

In the video below he's talking about some fraudulent behaviour of FBI while investigating into Trump so as to remove him from office. Anyone know of Garland Nixon, his background and expertise? His opinions sound like Center-Left to me?

I don't know most of the names he's mentioning in the video, I've bookmarked a certain part below if anyone wants to check. He also moves on to Hunter Biden's involvement in Ukraine and how FBI has turned a blind eye to it, and he says constitution and rule of law must be upheld and should not be distorted/manipulated to take down opponents, be it Trump or someone else, and says some fishy business is going on to take Trump down because he has been sniffing too close into people in higher echelons of real governmental power and into how they've usurping that power.

 

DiscoBiscuit

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So, leave Trump alone or you’ll nominate him again? This is such a stupid argument. Of course I don’t want Trump anywhere near the White House again, but I couldn’t care less about this political spin. Trump should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law for any and all crimes for which there is sufficient evidence, and if he is in possession of any sensitive US documents that do not belong to him, then the government should absolutely take steps to recover them. Any president who does the shit he did should face the same consequences, Democrat or Republican or whomever.

If Republicans take control of the house and maybe the Senate, I would welcome any investigations into Hunter Biden or whomever, and would vehemently oppose any attempt to prevent the continued investigations of Trump and others in their party. But so far Republican investigations like Benghazi, etc., have ended up nowhere. It’s almost like they’re lying for political purposes…

This shouldn’t be a race to the bottom. We should strive for better.
Lol. In a system where bipartisan buyin is a necessary precondition for legitimacy, you think we should outsource our estimation of whether the process is fair to you who share none of our goals and wish to see them thwarted at every path?

That's the fun thing about representative democracy, kinda like fiat currency, it only works if everyone believes in it.

So given the history of the last six years, specifically looking at the phishing expedition known as the Mueller investigation, and the behavior of Democrats the instant Trump took office, why should I trust bureaucratic integrity of a justice apparatus that has done everything to limit the actions of my party while they are in power and nothing to limit the actions of the left while they are in power.

You have given me zero reason to trust the products of this process, besides trust me bro, the world would be a better place if everyone just trusted the authority and inherent rightness of a justice department that has proven itself to be anything but.

If any president should be dealt with harshly for violating the sacred process statute of confidential document handling while out of office, why didn't the GOP raid Hillary with the investigative power at their back? Because we thought not violating the norm of politically weaponizing the the investigative arm of the us govt was more important than scoring political points. So now that we are out of power (temporarily) we should entrust the power to investigate political opponents after they've left the WH for whatever reason to the left when we wouldn't even trust OURSELVES with it?

So no I don't think I will trust Democrats with a power we wouldn't trust ourselves with. Although after all this I guess we can start trusting ourselves with it in the future because we have no reason to hold back on it if y'all wont.

So if you want me to trust the system it must first demonstrate to me that it deserves the legitimacy that comes with my approval. Unless and until it can do that, your appeals to me mean nothing.

Spare me your hands across America better world appeals.
 

Red Herring

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I find this gentleman called Garland Nixon to be quite a level headed guy, bumped into him on twitter mostly due to his tweets about Ukraine.

In the video below he's talking about some fraudulent behaviour of FBI while investigating into Trump so as to remove him from office. Anyone know of Garland Nixon, his background and expertise? His opinions sound like Center-Left to me?

I don't know most of the names he's mentioning in the video, I've bookmarked a certain part below if anyone wants to check. He also moves on to Hunter Biden's involvement in Ukraine and how FBI has turned a blind eye to it, and he says constitution and rule of law must be upheld and should not be distorted/manipulated to take down opponents, be it Trump or someone else, and says some fishy business is going on to take Trump down because he has been sniffing too close into people in higher echelons of real governmental power and into how they've usurping that power.

I had to google him. Do you mean the guy who has a regular show on the state-owned Russian propaganda channel Sputnik?
 

yeghor

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I had to google him. Do you mean the guy who has a regular show on the state-owned Russian propaganda channel Sputnik?
I don't know about his show on Sputnik, I follow him mostly on twitter, youtube and sometimes on rokfin, but yeah same guy.
 

yeghor

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I had to google him. Do you mean the guy who has a regular show on the state-owned Russian propaganda channel Sputnik?
This is his bio on Sputnik page. I didn't know he had background in law enforcement.

1660313933536.png
 

Virtual ghost

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To be honest I think it is kinda naive to think that the search didn't happen without the blessing from GOP. Which was evidently under the table since they don't want to alienate the base, especially now before the midterms. I truly and honestly think that the Dems wouldn't dare to do this on their own. Plus it isn't exactly a secret that quite decent chunk of GOP establishment never really liked Trump. However now they have to play their role of the victim. But I don't think many of them are really all that horrified with what has happened.


In other words I am also pretty sure that the party thinks that he is quite like to take the nomination but unlikely to win again. Therefore the story in 2024 will end like 2020. Especially since now the guy has even more baggage then in last elections. Plus he is openly damaging the party. The race for governor of Massachusetts was safe red and now it is safe blue. What is because Trump endorsed a radical instead of incumbent, which has no shot in the deep blue state. Something similar happened in Maryland and a few other states if I got it right. Also his picks made a big question out of who will take the Senate in November. What should have been easy pick up for the red team in November. Also what his picks in the Supreme court did will hurt the party for many years, since now abortion is on the every single ballot. While GOP struggles with popular vote as it is. So objectively the party has to think of the way how to remove him. Biden is too old that he is likely to run in 2024 even if he makes it there. Therefore the Dems are likely to search for someone new and much younger. Especially since that will represent the base much better. Therefore if the GOP in 2024 nominates old guy that is objectively left and right fully of baggage they are very likely to lose. Especially since they struggle with popular vote as it is. The party simply has to find a new face and continue. While here probably the easiest way to do that is to simply aplly the law. Since there seems to be more then enough baggage for that however you turn it. Therefore I am fairly sure all of this is just designed media circus for the most part.

Those are my 2 cents on the issue.
 

Jonny

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Lol. In a system where bipartisan buyin is a necessary precondition for legitimacy, you think we should outsource our estimation of whether the process is fair to you who share none of our goals and wish to see them thwarted at every path?

That's the fun thing about representative democracy, kinda like fiat currency, it only works if everyone believes in it.

So given the history of the last six years, specifically looking at the phishing expedition known as the Mueller investigation, and the behavior of Democrats the instant Trump took office, why should I trust bureaucratic integrity of a justice apparatus that has done everything to limit the actions of my party while they are in power and nothing to limit the actions of the left while they are in power.

You have given me zero reason to trust the products of this process, besides trust me bro, the world would be a better place if everyone just trusted the authority and inherent rightness of a justice department that has proven itself to be anything but.

If any president should be dealt with harshly for violating the sacred process statute of confidential document handling while out of office, why didn't the GOP raid Hillary with the investigative power at their back? Because we thought not violating the norm of politically weaponizing the the investigative arm of the us govt was more important than scoring political points. So now that we are out of power (temporarily) we should entrust the power to investigate political opponents after they've left the WH for whatever reason to the left when we wouldn't even trust OURSELVES with it?

So no I don't think I will trust Democrats with a power we wouldn't trust ourselves with. Although after all this I guess we can start trusting ourselves with it in the future because we have no reason to hold back on it if y'all wont.

So if you want me to trust the system it must first demonstrate to me that it deserves the legitimacy that comes with my approval. Unless and until it can do that, your appeals to me mean nothing.

Spare me your hands across America better world appeals.

I agree that widespread buy-in is a necessary precondition for legitimacy. We must agree to a set of rules/laws, establish and preserve institutions to enforce those rules/laws, hold those institutions accountable to the public trust, etc. I don't want anyone to outsource their own critical thinking. But *critical thinking* is the operative term. People must think critically about the circumstances or else they can be led astray.

Case in point, your characterization of the "Mueller investigation" as a fishing expedition. I'm not sure if you've read the Mueller report, or the Horowitz report about the Mueller report ("the OIG found no indication that the investigation of Trump and Russia was motivated by political bias"), or if you're conflating the media's characterization of the investigation with the actual investigation. I'm also not sure if you're aware of the FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton's e-mail server or the US Select Committee on Benghazi or the Whitewater investigation or the impeachment of Bill Clinton. Sometimes investigations of political figures occur. And, to the extent that political figures engage in behavior warranting such investigations, they should.

James Comey, a Republican, was head of the FBI when it began investigations into both Hillary Clinton and Russia 2016/Trump. John McCain, a Republican and 2008 nominee, was central to the start of the latter investigation. Rod Rosenstein, a Republican appointed by Trump, appointed Robert Mueller, a Republican, as special counsel to continue the investigation. Mitt Romney, a Republican and 2012 nominee, voted to impeach Trump twice. Current FBI director Wray, a Republican appointed by Trump, is currently head of the FBI.

I doubt you will ever view the system as legitimate so long as you start with the presupposition that Trump must be innocent or at least equivalent with other politicians in the illegality of his actions. People all around Trump have been convicted of crimes. His campaign managers and acolytes, his longtime attorney. These are not people who operate under the rule of law. It is you who has changed. You've contorted yourself into a pretzel all to preserve your own support of a man who is unfit to be president. I remember wishing Trump well and congratulating you when he won. That was after a very public FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton that very possibly cost her the election, and before any investigation into Trump. I didn't throw a tantrum. I didn't complain. I felt that what she did was worthy of an investigation and accepted the consequences.

I don't expect you to hold back. I expect you to adhere to the rule of law and hold people accountable when they engage in illegal activities. We would be better for it.
 

DiscoBiscuit

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I agree that widespread buy-in is a necessary precondition for legitimacy. We must agree to a set of rules/laws, establish and preserve institutions to enforce those rules/laws, hold those institutions accountable to the public trust, etc. I don't want anyone to outsource their own critical thinking. But *critical thinking* is the operative term. People must think critically about the circumstances or else they can be led astray.

Politics doesn't operate on the presupposition that we have a critically thinking electorate. We operate with the electorate we have and do our best to educate people on the margins. People have always and will always be led astray. There is no future where this isn't so.

Case in point, your characterization of the "Mueller investigation" as a fishing expedition. I'm not sure if you've read the Mueller report, or the Horowitz report about the Mueller report ("the OIG found no indication that the investigation of Trump and Russia was motivated by political bias"), or if you're conflating the media's characterization of the investigation with the actual investigation. I'm also not sure if you're aware of the FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton's e-mail server or the US Select Committee on Benghazi or the Whitewater investigation or the impeachment of Bill Clinton. Sometimes investigations of political figures occur.

Yes I'm aware the sky is blue.

And, to the extent that political figures engage in behavior warranting such investigations, they should.

Investigate away, but maybe just maybe put slightly more thought into it than having the FBI raid a former presidents residence when you can just subpoena the docs again. The docs they raided for had already been under subpoena months earlier. The gov't came and took all the boxes of docs from Trumps safe, then instructed him to put a better lock on the safe for security reasons. They then decide to raid the same fucking place again on the assumption that Trump left some out when they came earlier. Just ask Trump to get his lawyers or whoever to search for any outstanding docs.

A raid like this has never occurred before in the history of our Republic and all those investigations managed to survive and come to a conclusion. Unless the FBI produces evidence that necessitates this raid vs some less aggravating manner of getting the docs I have no reason to conclude that choosing to raid Trump vs subpoena him was anything other than malice.

James Comey, a Republican, was head of the FBI when it began investigations into both Hillary Clinton and Russia 2016/Trump. John McCain, a Republican and 2008 nominee, was central to the start of the latter investigation. Rod Rosenstein, a Republican appointed by Trump, appointed Robert Mueller, a Republican, as special counsel to continue the investigation. Mitt Romney, a Republican and 2012 nominee, voted to impeach Trump twice. Current FBI director Wray, a Republican appointed by Trump, is currently head of the FBI.

Wow a bunch of people from the non-Trump wing of the party that after this raid no longer exists. This lends as much credence to your argument as having Jennifer Rubin write for the Washington Post. To date there hasn't been much of a market for former Democrats coming over to our side to lend our arguments a bipartisan sheen. Democrats are much better at punishing apostates than the right is. Hence cancel culture et al. I would have argued that Manchin was maybe a candidate for being one of these, but after he bent over and voted for the recent legislation, I would say that the left is just better at getting what they want and punishing defectors.

This situation is why the most important discussion moving forward is of Trumps schedule F plan. When a prez comes into office they get to appoint the top guys in each dept. Under those top guys are 20 layers of bureaucracy that the prez can't appoint. Of those there are about 50k civil service employees who have a say in the policy direction of those depts. Without enough of that leadership in the depts being willing to go along with the prez, the entire Bureaucratic apparatus resists every desire of the executive, as we saw happen under Trump. He had his top guys, but couldn't get anything done because he hadn't installed enough of his people at the relevant depts to move anything forward. Of the 2 mil govt employees maybe 50k have this policy making power and by classifying them schedule F Trump would have the power to fire and replace all of those 50k. This way he could enter government and have some policy impact.

These 50k workers, not elected, making dept level policy decisions and remaining in gov't no matter which party wins. Impossible to fire due to federal union contracts. These people make rules that the whole country has to follow and none of them ever received a single vote. Schedule F would make these *legislating* bureaucrats answerable to the prez admin and thus the voting electorate.

I doubt you will ever view the system as legitimate so long as you start with the presupposition that Trump must be innocent or at least equivalent with other politicians in the illegality of his actions. People all around Trump have been convicted of crimes. His campaign managers and acolytes, his longtime attorney. These are not people who operate under the rule of law. It is you who has changed. You've contorted yourself into a pretzel all to preserve your own support of a man who is unfit to be president. I remember wishing Trump well and congratulating you when he won. That was after a very public FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton that very possibly cost her the election, and before any investigation into Trump. I didn't throw a tantrum. I didn't complain. I felt that what she did was worthy of an investigation and accepted the consequences.

Investigate away. You said leave Trump alone or you'll nominate him is a stupid argument. Why?

If that's what ends up happening why is my reasoning stupid?

Framing the question this way is a little disingenuous, I'm not trying to debate the awfulness of Trump. One would think the contents of his character has been sufficiently legislated.

What I am disputing is whether the facts on the ground warranted raiding MAL given the obvious political consequences of doing so.

Yes you are uniquely gracious among people who discuss politics.

What changed about me is that I used to think I was better than Trump voters. I was a Rubio guy through and through (even worked on his '10 campaign) and thought they were crazy. I was the crazy one, they had a legitimate beef with a political system that had systematically ignored them for decades.

I've said investigate away, that's a political tool thats been used forever. A former presidents house has never before been raided. The foundation of my point is that, the grounds for this raid need to be iron clad to warrant the political blowback of doing it. That the raid, not the investigation itself, is a dumb move that breaks a serious norm, moves the nation closer to widespread political violence and energizes the GOP electorate for Nov.

I don't expect you to hold back. I expect you to adhere to the rule of law and hold people accountable when they engage in illegal activities. We would be better for it.

If you've ever seen Watchmen you sound a little like Rorschach at the end. Sticking to the rule of law in the face of global annihilation.

Weighing the consequences of raiding vs subpoenaing a former president in no way violates the rule of law. In fact just subpoenaing the info vs raiding for it would probably be better for the investigation itself.

You can drape the raid in your rule of law argument, but I've shown how not raiding violates nothing.

This whole situation demonstrates a lack of strategic thinking by Biden Co. that's fascinating.
 
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DiscoBiscuit

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This is more succinct:
Here’s the thing. Presidents are not above the law but you don’t break 245-years of precedence by sending the FBI to raid their home of man likely to be a 2024 nominee over a dispute of classified info, particularly given the President IS the authority to declassify information.
 

The Cat

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TS= Top Secret
SCI=Sensitive Compartmented Information.
People have vanished to black sites for less.​
 

Virtual ghost

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I had some similar thoughts about this. The more you purge the party of the RINOs you kinda make the conclusions more simple. And that means that you will suffer many loses on the political center and in two party system center is actually very important place. Since is very likely to define the outcome of most races. After all many independents like to vote for GOP exactly because of the RINOs. They don't vote for GOP because of the extremists. So with this GOP is indeed making a "us versus them" argument but in a way that they are quite likely be the minority. What is politically unwise because of obvious reasons.
 
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