Cold war 2.0

[Virtual ghost]

 

[SensEye]

Israel-Hamas war: Netanyahu views Biden's plan as incomplete

This plan seems very similar to the last plan, which was rejected. Biden seems to want to paint this plan as an "Israeli" plan, when it does not appear to be. I can't see how Israel would fail to agree to a plan they created, however that notion seems to exist only in Biden's head. I see no reason this plan won't fail for all the same reasons the last one did.

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Nigel Farage comeback is Sunak’s worst nightmare


Just when it looked that it can't be any worse for the Conservatives that was proven wrong. As it is the Conservatives should win only about 10% of the parliament. However with this it should get even worse for the party. Not to mention that if just about 5% of the whole electorate leaves Conservatives for Farage that they would be tied in the polls. Plus he is also likely to win over some voters that decided to vote Labor due to their disgust with Conservatives. What means that Farage has open path of becoming the main right wing force in UK. What is basically a complete remake of national political landscape. Even if it is worth mentioning that he is basically the real conservative here and presents what the party used to stand for (for the most part).

Therefore this will be quite "interesting" to watch. Especially because neighboring France is preparing to elect it's own nationalistic party and in the Netherlands such party just entered the governing coalition as the largest party. While right and left wing anti-system parties should come on top in the Belgium, since there are national elections next weekend. What altogether shows that the existing political consensus in Western Europe is falling apart (for better or for worse).

 

[Virtual ghost]

An American’s guide to the EU election

Culturally adjusted guide.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Putin’s a bigger deal than EU election in Europe’s frontline states

German tanks and troops in Lithuania have one goal: Scare off Russia

White House says Biden will not attend Ukraine peace summit

Portugal's new government tightens immigration rules

India election result: Vote counting begins

Former Thai PM Thaksin accused of defaming monarchy

Nigeria: Electric grid crippled as workers go on strike

 

[Virtual ghost]

It is getting more narrow (and pretty quickly).
In a sense this is pretty much what happened in US during 2016 Republican primaries. The parallels are more than obvious.

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

European Parliament Election 2024


Here are the last polling expectations about how this should turn out in the end. This is basically because in Sunday is the election night and voting has already started in some overseas territories. Therefore we have what we have, the show is coming to an end. The link shows how much each of the block should get across 27 member states and which parties should be in which block. There is way too many of them so they have to be divided into blocks made out of similar parties (in order to make things more functional). Since we are talking about 100+ political parties that have to make a coalition government.




How to watch the EU election like a Pro

Various details.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Latin America's anger at China's economic clout grows

This will be interesting to watch on the long run.



Voters think Labour will unpick Brexit. They may be disappointed.

On D-Day 80th anniversary, Ukraine war rages amid shaky Western front

Slovakia: Robert Fico makes first comments since shooting

Can Yulia Navalnaya unite the Russian opposition?

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

EU election exit poll: Far-right Wilders makes big gains in Netherlands, but narrowly beaten

Dutch party websites attacked as EU vote kicks off

EPP welcomes Orbán’s former ally Magyar

French Greens risk extinction. That could benefit von der Leyen.



The show is in the full swing.

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Revealed: Russia’s best friends in the EU Parliament

Manfred Weber has already won the European Parliament election. Can he handle what comes next?

EU elections: Irish, Czechs go to polls for parliament vote

Ukraine updates: Zelenskyy to address French parliament

What do India's neighbors expect from the new government?

Sudan crisis: Fears of potential genocide growing

 

[Virtual ghost]

EU election exit poll: Far-right Wilders makes big gains in Netherlands, but narrowly beaten

European Parliament Election 2024


It started with the shock. Netherlands was for many months painted as black (far right). While in the end it will be Green progressive on the map of who got the most seats in the countries.

For months the media and adds are scaring people with far right and it is quite possible that this will work as a strategy for the most part. Especially since far right isn't quiet and people can see them as an active actor in the game (Instead of some imaginary threat that the media made up). In other words in the system where you have multiple parties the large changes in expected turnout can pretty quickly make the result that isn't expected in the polls. The Netherlands has basically just proven that we don't really know what will actually happen in these elections.

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

The death of the UK Conservative Party

It is true. Throwing so many incumbent MPs out of the parliament means that even if the party eventually recovers in numbers it is likely that it wouldn't recover in content. Therefore this could easily be a "big reset" type of event.

 

[SensEye]

It started with the shock. Netherlands was for many months painted as black (far right). While in the end it will be Green progressive on the map of who got the most seats in the countries.

Seems like the worst possible outcome. Lots of polarization and the middle is fading. Now you get either the terrible policies of the far left or the terrible policies of the far right (or at least you will have these two groups pulling in the opposite directions in the European parliament).

 

[Virtual ghost]

Man assaults Danish PM Mette Frederiksen on Copenhagen street

Danish PM Mette Frederiksen assaulted in Copenhagen

 

[Virtual ghost]

Seems like the worst possible outcome. Lots of polarization and the middle is fading. Now you get either the terrible policies of the far left or the terrible policies of the far right (or at least you will have these two groups pulling in the opposite directions in the European parliament).

First of all Green-labor coalition isn't far left but center left. Plus over the last mandate they were coalition partners of the center in the European parliament. On all of that you can add that they aren't for dissolution of EU, what is a major element of the story. What evidently can't be said about Wilders. Plus they are pro Ukraine, while Widers isn't really.

Therefore win of Labor-green coalition is much better outcome than the alternative.