Cold war 2.0

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Orbán urges Meloni, Le Pen to team up and create right-wing EU super group


Judge for yourself.





Hungary — National parliament voting intention

However it is worth mentioning that opposition has regrouped and thus lowered the numbers of the guy to just 40%. If he looses 2 more percent that will be the lowest point since this track record started in 2014. What means that he is becoming politically vulnerable.

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Operation Endgame: Ukrainian, Western security services bust international hacking group

It is about time that someone starts to clean this.





Pro-Russian Facebook ads spread to target Italy, Poland elections

Austrian liberals demand probe of far-right leader’s Putin links after POLITICO report

China takes aim at EU’s planes and farmers as trade war brews

NATO chief: Time to rethink restrictions on Ukraine weaponry

South Africa election: ANC losing majority in early results

Venezuela disinvites EU observers from upcoming election

Mexico: Second mayoral candidate killed days before election

 

[Virtual ghost]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Hitting Russia where it hurts: Ukraine tightens the noose around Crimea

Germany allows Ukraine to strike targets inside Russia with German weapons

NATO chief says Russia can't 'wait out' alliance in Ukraine

Who is Dick Schoof? 8 things to know about the new Dutch PM

Belgium’s make-or-break election, explained

Israel-Hamas war: Biden presents new Gaza cease-fire offer

India election: Voting enters seventh and final phase

Philippines' Marcos warns China not to cross 'red lines'

 

[Virtual ghost]

The summary of where we are when it comes to Ukraine.

 

[The Cat]

 

[Virtual ghost]

I recently posted various videos about the 7 political blocks of the EU. Therefore here is the one that is pretty clear summary of all those videos.
For you that want to find your best match in EU politics this should make things much easier to picture and decide.

Btw. there is one pretty big add in the middle, so feel free to skip that.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Zelenskyy accuses China of helping Russia sabotage peace summit

‘It feels like there’s no future’: Georgia’s clash with West leaves ordinary people on brink

Russia threatens to charge chess grandmaster Kasparov under ‘foreign agent’ law

 

[Virtual ghost]

UK National parliament voting intention



Globally this is pretty evidently under-reported story. UK parliament has 650 seats and the conservatives in the newest polls should expect to win only about 10% of those. This is because realities of Brexit are starting to kick in for real and they are getting mixed with what seems to be general incompetence and lack of stability. However even if that is taken into a count the numbers seem to be "shocking". Because with current numbers this should be complete landslide for the Labor party. 23 point lead in polling for the parliament is huge advantage. Especially because of winner takes all at the level of local constituency. Plus the biggest element in the story is perhaps the fact that snap elections are in 4 weeks. So there isn't really that much time for some large shifts. This is so drastic that some of the smaller parties could end up as the second largest party in the parliament. What would evidently be the end of an era.

 

[SensEye]

However even if that is taken into a count the numbers seem to be "shocking".

I think there is probably an issue with people being sick of the conservatives who have been in power since 2010. Usually people just want change after one party rules for too long. I suspect another big factor (which it would be unacceptable to ever talk about) is closet racism. Sunak is the first leader of color in the UK and traditional conservative voters don't like it, but they can't say that out loud so this sentiment shows up in the polls but never as an issue.

I understand Starmer is a centrist, so that's a safe place for disenfranchised conservatives to turn. I think people would prefer a Labour majority rather than have them have to partner up with the far left like the Greens or the Liberal Dems. So a landslide for Labour might be the best option until such time as the Conservatives can get back on track.

 

[Virtual ghost]

I think there is probably an issue with people being sick of the conservatives who have been in power since 2010. Usually people just want change after one party rules for too long. I suspect another big factor (which it would be unacceptable to ever talk about) is closet racism. Sunak is the first leader of color in the UK and traditional conservative voters don't like it, but they can't say that out loud so this sentiment shows up in the polls but never as an issue.

I understand Starmer is a centrist, so that's a safe place for disenfranchised conservatives to turn. I think people would prefer a Labour majority rather than have them have to partner up with the far left like the Greens or the Liberal Dems. So a landslide for Labour might be the best option until such time as the Conservatives can get back on track.

Yeah, the color evidently plays a role here, I have very little doubt about (in my part of the world you can pretty openly say "the obvious").
If he was running as a candidate of labor party this wouldn't be that much of a problem. But in this combination it will surely be a problem for some voters. After all this is probably exactly why openly nationalistic Reform UK party is suddenly running at 12%. After all lack of those 12% is exactly what is creating the scenario of landslide for Labor. Since they should win in many places where they shouldn't from purely mathematical point of view. Labor running a centrist for the top job only adds to all of this.

In a sense this is basically the perfect storm on the side of Labor.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Claudia Sheinbaum Will Be Mexico’s Next President. But Which Version of Her Will Govern?

 

[Julius_Van_Der_Beak]

Claudia Sheinbaum Will Be Mexico’s Next President. But Which Version of Her Will Govern?

I've been following this a little. Interesting to see what happens. The primary thing that drew me to this was that I was coincidentally leading a discussion regarding a book on Mexico City earlier today.

 

[Julius_Van_Der_Beak]

This article gave me a bit more context which I appreciated.

Violence mars Mexico vote as country set to elect first woman president

 

[The Cat]

 

[Virtual ghost]

Von der Leyen needs 361 votes to keep her job. Good luck with that.

Von der Leyen’s potential partners in the Parliament


Math is pretty exact science. In other words here the math says that EU will probably get the change on the very top once the election is over. However it is unclear who should be the alternative if it comes to that. What is because making continent wide coalition government isn't trivial tasks. Especially since it isn't even certain who will be the part of ruling coalition. In normal times this gets solved fairly quickly. However in this much turbulent times there could be some drama in the mix.

 

[Virtual ghost]

Russia warns US of ‘fatal consequences’ over miscalculations in Ukraine

Macron ally slams French EPP for ‘attacking’ von der Leyen

US, China seek guardrails as Taiwan tensions persist

Israel-Hamas war: Netanyahu views Biden's plan as incomplete

Mexico: Sheinbaum wins presidential election

Burkina Faso world's worst forgotten crisis: report