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Cold war 2.0

Virtual ghost

Complex paradigm
Joined
Jun 6, 2008
Messages
22,172
Climate change not only leads to more extreme weather but also to more slowly changing weather, i.e. long periods of draught or rain (high and low pressur areas moving more slowly across the map due to the melting of the poles, IIRC). It has been raining for weeks around here to the point where dikes have become completely soaked and have to be fortified with sandbags and there is talk about evacuation. Not in my village, fortunately, but near where my 76 year old mother lives. She'll probably be fine but this is an urgent reminder that shit's getting real.

The last federal election was in part swayed by insufficient government reaction to similar floods in another part of the country.

Yeah, it is so much water that it is causing floods in other countries downstream.

I mean it is pretty simple, higher temperature means more evaporation from the sea. While more evaporation means there is more rain. So if that extra water is unloaded in specific area there will be floods. Since sewers were build for some passed ages, if they are even maintained.
 

Virtual ghost

Complex paradigm
Joined
Jun 6, 2008
Messages
22,172


I am quite curious to see where this will go over the years.
Especially since things can't continue as they are.
 

Virtual ghost

Complex paradigm
Joined
Jun 6, 2008
Messages
22,172



In other words: how the Middle East has joined the BRICS.
I knew that this is being cooked and this is exactly why I said what I said yesterday. We are all in a bind of the global struggle for the influence between east and west. There is no escaping that, since the world order is being actively changed. Plus I am not going to tell you why all of this ultra significant. I think that is obvious enough. You go isolationist and you will surely lose pretty much everything you have on the map ... and then you will go bankrupt. The only way out is full speed ahead.
 

The Cat

The Cat in the Tinfoil Hat..
Staff member
Joined
Oct 15, 2016
Messages
27,432
No man is an island. But even every island is surrounded on all sides by something.
 

Red Herring

middle-class woman of a certain age
Joined
Jun 9, 2010
Messages
7,917
MBTI Type
INTP
Enneagram
5w4
Instinctual Variant
sp/sx
There is some movement in the German political party landscape.

Earlier this year Sarah Wagenknecht of the Linke (far-left) left the party to found her own party. Now I just read that Hans-Georg Maaßen, who is still in the CDU (center-right) but in the process of being kicked out of the party for being too friendly with the AfD and generally too far on the right for them also wants to start his own party.

In that case we would move from a 6 party system (far-left. Greens, center-left, pro-business-libertarians, center-right, far-right) to an 8 party system (populist left, far-left, Greens, center-left, pro-business-libertarians, center-right, whatever-in-between-thing-Maaßen-will-start, far-right).

It has been said that the new populist left party (Wagenknecht) might attract some people from the populist right (AfD) as they have the same target audience. It would be interesting to see what effects another option on the menu between CDU and AfD would have. They already have something similar in Bavaria - the Bündnis Freie Wähler, a sort of more accetable populist right between the CSU and the AfD which was gaining votes during the last Bavarian election despite (or maybe even because of) their party head being involved in a bit of a scandal about a nasty pamphlet he once wrote as a schoolboy. They are rightwing but, unlike the AfD, not anti-system. I also wonder how this would affect the course of the CDU which Merz has recently steared further to the right because he does have several competitors who would like to take over party leadership and possibly manage it differently (Wüst and Günther come to mind)


tl;dr: Both the far-left and the far-right are splintering which might not be really be a sign of weakness but rather of differenciation because so many people are looking for options outside the center but want more than one option.
 

Virtual ghost

Complex paradigm
Joined
Jun 6, 2008
Messages
22,172
There is some movement in the German political party landscape.

Earlier this year Sarah Wagenknecht of the Linke (far-left) left the party to found her own party. Now I just read that Hans-Georg Maaßen, who is still in the CDU (center-right) but in the process of being kicked out of the party for being too friendly with the AfD and generally too far on the right for them also wants to start his own party.

In that case we would move from a 6 party system (far-left. Greens, center-left, pro-business-libertarians, center-right, far-right) to an 8 party system (populist left, far-left, Greens, center-left, pro-business-libertarians, center-right, whatever-in-between-thing-Maaßen-will-start, far-right).

It has been said that the new populist left party (Wagenknecht) might attract some people from the populist right (AfD) as they have the same target audience. It would be interesting to see what effects another option on the menu between CDU and AfD would have. They already have something similar in Bavaria - the Bündnis Freie Wähler, a sort of more accetable populist right between the CSU and the AfD which was gaining votes during the last Bavarian election despite (or maybe even because of) their party head being involved in a bit of a scandal about a nasty pamphlet he once wrote as a schoolboy. They are rightwing but, unlike the AfD, not anti-system. I also wonder how this would affect the course of the CDU which Merz has recently steared further to the right because he does have several competitors who would like to take over party leadership and possibly manage it differently (Wüst and Günther come to mind)


tl;dr: Both the far-left and the far-right are splintering which might not be really be a sign of weakness but rather of differenciation because so many people are looking for options outside the center but want more than one option.

The truth is that we are just 5 months away from federal EU elections. Therefore now many are trying to grab their piece of the cake. Especially since this will be election heavy year all around the place and on almost all levels. In other words I have even more than 2 new options on the table. Out of them the strongest seems to be something that would best be described as alternative center right or populist center right. Which could easily drain both center right and the far right. Which developed mostly because many people were unhappy with center right (but now many aren't happy with the alternative either). Therefore now it is "third time the charm". What in the end should produce something like your Free voters. So if this fully takes off the political spectrum will have some kind of a new era. In some polls they are even leading in certain regions, what is strong showing if we consider that the party is month old and it has 0 seats at this point. There really seems to be appetite for something new in that part of the spectrum. The other new comers worthy of mentioning are new centrist-libertarians, plus new center left that split form the original due to infighting. Everything else that is new isn't really worth mentioning.

So this will be "interesting" year for sure. Large remakes of the political spectrum are realistic possibility.
 
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