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The Impeachment Thread

Tennessee Jed

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Very good post. I wonder if it's true.

If it's true in general? Yes, it's true. Daniel Kahneman is a psychologist who won the Nobel Prize in Economics for his breakthrough work on economic decision-making. He wrote the landmark masterpiece "Thinking, Fast and Slow" on how the human brain operates. In that book he talks many times about the Halo Effect and how pernicious it is: How it shows up in his psychological and economic testing, how he has to correct for it in his own perceptions, how it's necessary to correct for it in police procedures for dealing with witness testimony, etc.

He also talks about how the Halo Effect applies directly to the public's perception of politics. He devotes a section of Chapter 7 specifically to the Halo Effect, and it starts with the following passage: "If you like the president's politics, you probably like his voice and his appearance as well. The tendency to like (or dislike) everything about a person--including things you have not observed--is known as the halo effect..." (p. 82 of the paperback edition). Elsewhere Kahneman talks about how the Halo Effect colors our perceptions of government programs and policies, and he even goes into a long debate about how much the government should actually listen and respond to public opinion, given the public's lack of expertise on most such issues and how prone the public is to cognitive biases such as the Halo Effect (pp. 140-143 of the paperback edition).

Anyway, speaking of TypoC and its members, I'm always amazed at how black-and-white everyone is in these politics threads. I'm amazed at how absolutely certain everyone is about their politics. I actually have an undergraduate political science degree, and I would never be as certain about my own politics as everyone else here apparently is about theirs, especially given their mostly superficial grasp of the issues...

As for whether or not the Halo Effect is affecting your own thinking in particular, that's for you to decide. I can't read your mind or speak for you.

I'm just throwing it out there as "food for thought" for those who might be open to a new perspective.
 

Yuurei

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Or perjury when asked irrelevant questions? :) But Clinton.....!



Translation: Trump isn't a Democrat, therefore, he shouldn't be impeached.

Or high treason ( ie asking enemy countries to meddle in domestic affairs, especially elections )

..pretty much.

The argument that “the hatred of Trump is entirely partisan” is nothing more than an argument for argument’s sake.


Sure, it could be for a few people but has it never occured to anyone who has made these claims that he is hated because of the things he has done?
No, of course not because they want it to be ‘Partisan’ so they can dismiss every crime he’s committed.
 

Tellenbach

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ceecee said:
"In fact, ‘high Crimes and Misdemeanors’ is not defined in the Constitution and does not require corresponding statutory charges. The context implies conduct that violates the public trust—and that view is echoed by the Framers of the Constitution and early American scholars."

What counts as a high crime or misdemeanor for impeachment? Justin Amash got it right | PolitiFact

Amash is right; the House gets to decide what constitutes "high crimes and misdemeanors" but I don't agree with the assessment that it's any conduct that violates public trust; by Amash's standard, Clinton should be impeached for lying to the American people about having sex with Lewinsky and Obama should be impeached for lying to get Obamacare passed. See, if you only post a snippet of Amash's comment, then we don't really know what he thinks. I'm sure he'd agree that there has be serious misconduct. Trump's actions do not meet that standard, imo.

Why aren't Trump's actions considered serious? Because every other president has strong-armed other nations into doing things through the with-holding of aid or through sanctions as in North Korea; the only difference in this instance is that a Democrat's son is involved and that Democrat is running for president.

My thinking: Biden's son is very likely corrupt and he should be exposed; every corrupt American official or family member of an American official should be exposed even if daddy Biden is running for president. I'm thinking there should be a special prosecutor appointed to investigate Biden. Pelosi's impeachment nonsense is merely protecting the Dem frontrunner. It's not working, btw. Trump's approval is up 7 pts since the impeachment nonsense. Dems, good luck with that.
 

Z Buck McFate

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The same guy that wrote the piece in CT suggesting trump should be removed from office, that your media is telling you is news for some reason, wrote this article almost directly after the election:

What to Make of Donald Trump’s Soul | Christianity Today

Bashing/hating on Trump is nothing new for this guy, and trying to spin it into some kind of cultural religious 'turning point' is pretty dishonest, especially since it's coming from people who can't even begin to understand religion or religious people. Any uptick in their subscriber base can just as easily be credited to the avalanche of free advertising the media randomly decided to gift them with.

That he's felt this way about Trump all along doesn't change the extent to which his criticisms were (and are still) accurate.

And I'm not sure the CT piece is largely seen as a 'turning point' so much as a surprising show of dissent from a corner of Evangelical America - who supposedly make up the strongest part of Trump's base. These are the people who seem absolutely mindlessly sheep caliber loyal - like Trump could cook a human baby and eat it on live TV, and they'd assume he had a good reason and would still back him. I'm not saying all supporters are this brainless, but there are enough who are. Late night talk show correspondents don't seem to have much difficulty finding them (to have a laugh at their expense).

And it's entirely possible that a lot of the new business comes from free advertising from the media, but Galli is quoted as saying, "A stereotypical response [to the recent CT piece] is ‘thank you, thank you, thank you’ with a string of a hundred exclamation points — ‘you’ve said what I’ve been thinking but haven’t been able to articulate, I’m not crazy.'"

Insulting ideas (like 'wokeness') is not the same thing as insulting individual people based on their ideas/beliefs like a bigot- that's the step too far that history has often warned us about. Especially coming from someone I always kind of looked up to on the forum as an adult voice of logic and reason. It's fair to say that anyone who thinks Trump is a decent and moral individual might want to reconsider that opinion, anybody who thinks that is a good idea might want to reconsider that opinion as well. Defensively defaulting back to 'well, I'm clearly right and the superior race, and everyone else is an idiot' helps no one involved in any way.

I've read this a couple times now, and I don't understand why you're making this distinction (insulting ideas vs. insulting individuals - I don't understand how you interpreted what I said that you'd think this distinction was necessary) or understand how it's a response to my post. I made a distinction between the 'wokeness' where people senselessly police others primarily because they personally have some need to get on a pedestal and police others (which the right actually do too, but in different ways), and then there's actual 'wokeness' (the positive character trait 'woke' is originally based on) which is a healthy character trait that's essential to simply get along with others. I was trying to point out that not all finger pointing is the former, sometimes the behaviors of others are pointed out because the behavior is actually a problem - and I used the way you were calling out highlander as an example. The underlying motivation for the former is to knock others down a peg or two in order to feel elevated oneself (or something), and the motivation of the latter is to point out where a behavior is genuinely causing trouble.

The CT editor was presenting accurate criticism. It wasn't just 'get woke' ranting for the sake of pandering to the 'get woke' crowd (which is the implication I interpreted in your response). The CT editor, Galli, listed problem behaviors of Trump that are actually directly observable - there's no need to 'trust' reports that he does them, all one needs to do is read a couple days worth of his tweets to see the criticism is true. In my mind, that's only "hating on" Trump in the sense that once such a thing - pointing out unethical, immoral and problem behavior or how someone is unfit for the office they hold - becomes a regular occurrence, it can take on a 'venting' tone. But if the criticism is accurate, then it's as valid as the way you were calling out highlander.

There are natural consequences for compulsive spewing pejoratives when something in the external world isn't going your way. If you can see the benefit in pointing out "let's all devolve into preschoolers calling each other idiots unworthy of respect" to highlander, then it stands to reason you should also be able to see the benefit in pointing out similar (and much worse, and consistently so) issues with Trump's directly observable behavior. It's not pandering to liberal snowflakes, there's actually a purpose behind it: the behavior is a problem. eta: I have a relatively strong feeling of 'knowing' that Trump is not "a decent and moral individual" because of his own directly observable behavior - his reactions to obstacles, his reaction to pretty much anything but adoration towards him - I've directly observed for the past several years, consistently. That the majority of citizens in this country more or less share this negative view of him - that's his doing, he did it to himself by not modifying his behavior. Just like highlander would stir up a bunch of hate towards himself if that isolated incident (and even worse behavior to boot) were a regular occurrence. /eta

And back to this though, because I'm really curious:
and it's fair to say that impeaching a president without direct evidence of an actual crime that exists in our laws or any bipartisan support (there is bipartisan support, ironically- but it's for NOT impeaching him)

Where do you get this? You've said yourself that you don't really pay attention to the news because you don't trust any news sources, you didn't watch the impeachment hearings, and that you only trust what you can discern directly from your own senses. Yet you must trust some source, because you seem to have an opinion or some feeling of 'knowing' this is true.

As I've said before, they ended up only writing up impeachment articles for that which they do have direct evidence of. I have a feeling of 'knowing' there is evidence because when I look at the evidence presented during the hearings I know I'd have the same opinion of a Democrat who did the same things. He did abuse the power of his office and he did obstruct the inquiry (and the investigation into Russian interference as well, but that's not what the impeachment article is about).

I've not yet seen a single person against impeachment who can directly look at the evidence, list it and say "I do not think these are impeachable offenses." It's always just a bunch of deflections and reverting to various accusations about partisan motivations, as if there's so much certainty in that that further investigation into whether or not there was evidence isn't even necessary.

I'm not even going to touch the thing about there being bipartisan support against the impeachment but not for it. But I do feel compelled to ask about this too: where do you get this information?

Also Merry Christmas.
 

highlander

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If it's true in general? Yes, it's true. Daniel Kahneman is a psychologist who won the Nobel Prize in Economics for his breakthrough work on economic decision-making. He wrote the landmark masterpiece "Thinking, Fast and Slow" on how the human brain operates. In that book he talks many times about the Halo Effect and how pernicious it is: How it shows up in his psychological and economic testing, how he has to correct for it in his own perceptions, how it's necessary to correct for it in police procedures for dealing with witness testimony, etc.

He also talks about how the Halo Effect applies directly to the public's perception of politics. He devotes a section of Chapter 7 specifically to the Halo Effect, and it starts with the following passage: "If you like the president's politics, you probably like his voice and his appearance as well. The tendency to like (or dislike) everything about a person--including things you have not observed--is known as the halo effect..." (p. 82 of the paperback edition). Elsewhere Kahneman talks about how the Halo Effect colors our perceptions of government programs and policies, and he even goes into a long debate about how much the government should actually listen and respond to public opinion, given the public's lack of expertise on most such issues and how prone the public is to cognitive biases such as the Halo Effect (pp. 140-143 of the paperback edition).

Anyway, speaking of TypoC and its members, I'm always amazed at how black-and-white everyone is in these politics threads. I'm amazed at how absolutely certain everyone is about their politics. I actually have an undergraduate political science degree, and I would never be as certain about my own politics as everyone else here apparently is about theirs, especially given their mostly superficial grasp of the issues...

As for whether or not the Halo Effect is affecting your own thinking in particular, that's for you to decide. I can't read your mind or speak for you.

I'm just throwing it out there as "food for thought" for those who might be open to a new perspective.

In this particular case it seems.we.hava a president who is a malignant narcissist in office. Halo or not, it's not a good thing for the country or the world.
 

Tater

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In this particular case it seems.we.hava a president who is a malignant narcissist in office. Halo or not, it's not a good thing for the country or the world.

That's essentially the way I look at it. I believe his influence has such toxicity that he needs to be removed like a cancer. I am concerned about the psychological well-being if my country. I believe he is a narcissist because my impression of him is that if a man who processes information only through the bottleneck of his ego.
 

Tater

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[MENTION=7842]Z Buck McFate[/MENTION] so basically you're saying that if Trump killed an infant on live TV than his supporters would still back him out of trust.

I believe that his supporters back him out of distrust for his enemies and detractors (ie. "the mainstream media.") So if he actually killed a baby on live TV, it would serve as "vindication" of their preexisting biases.
 

Nicodemus

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[MENTION=7842]Z Buck McFate[/MENTION] so basically you're saying that if Trump killed an infant on live TV than his supporters would still back him out of trust.

I believe that his supporters back him out of distrust for his enemies and detractors (ie. "the mainstream media.") So if he actually killed a baby on live TV, it would serve as "vindication" of their preexisting biases.
Seems right to me.

He might lose a couple of hundred supporters over infanticide, but given the kind of appeal he exudes, he would probably gain some as well.
 

anticlimatic

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Where do you get this? You've said yourself that you don't really pay attention to the news because you don't trust any news sources, you didn't watch the impeachment hearings, and that you only trust what you can discern directly from your own senses. Yet you must trust some source, because you seem to have an opinion or some feeling of 'knowing' this is true.

AR-191039786.jpg


I might go back and watch the house hearings after 'the other side' has had its chance to make its own case in the senate (if it has its chance, seems the like the house is wisely trying to prevent that), until then I'm not interested for a few reasons. I find that kind of thing boring in general, regardless of what's going on. I don't trust the framing of it, and I don't trust my level of knowledge regarding law and politics to make any kind of objective opinions over what is likely a very stacked and manipulated deck. If there is a senate trial that rebuts any of it, then I will watch both to compare.

Have you ever seen The Wire? What democrats have done with impeachment seems to me to be the equivalent of "dope on the table."
 

ceecee

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@Z Buck McFate so basically you're saying that if Trump killed an infant on live TV than his supporters would still back him out of trust.

I believe that his supporters back him out of distrust for his enemies and detractors (ie. "the mainstream media.") So if he actually killed a baby on live TV, it would serve as "vindication" of their preexisting biases.

Exactly. The fact that Trump killed a baby is irrelevant. He's simply using it as an illustration for the right wing moral stance. When I say right wing moral stance, I mean screaming that the left murders babies, poisons toddlers and imprisons teenagers. The right simply shoots them but they wait until the 1st grade.

I would use all this crazy to make digital advertisements to support M4A - the mental health care the right wing needs so badly. Bernie is fighting for you.
 

Warrior

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Exactly. The fact that Trump killed a baby is irrelevant. He's simply using it as an illustration for the right wing moral stance. When I say right wing moral stance, I mean screaming that the left murders babies, poisons toddlers and imprisons teenagers. The right simply shoots them but they wait until the 1st grade.

I would use all this crazy to make digital advertisements to support M4A - the mental health care the right wing needs so badly. Bernie is fighting for you.
How are people defending a man like Trump? Like seriously, what good has he done? What good is there in his personality? Yeah, yeah, yeah economy, schnonomy, the economy was growing at a faster rate under Obama if you look at the numbers. All Trump has done is basically say "america is great, we only need americans, no one else, tariff here, sanction there," well what happens when your shitshow diplomacy fails and people turn to china? or russia? or iran? hmm? the economy wont be so strong 20 years from now, but you wontbe alive by then wont ya old guy? hell, it might not even be 20 years.......and the arguments pro trump people use is all ad hominem....ok....so youre saying other presidents did impeachable things? well, do two wrongs make a right? if i rob a bank at gunpoint, and get away with it, does that mean you can rob an atm? [MENTION=20035]anticlimatic[/MENTION] and yes im a bernie supporter too [MENTION=4050]ceecee[/MENTION]
 

Tater

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Exactly. The fact that Trump killed a baby is irrelevant. He's simply using it as an illustration for the right wing moral stance. When I say right wing moral stance, I mean screaming that the left murders babies, poisons toddlers and imprisons teenagers. The right simply shoots them but they wait until the 1st grade.

I would use all this crazy to make digital advertisements to support M4A - the mental health care the right wing needs so badly. Bernie is fighting for you.

Haha!

So you're saying that Trump would be representing the vacuousness of his Republican constituency.

What I'm saying is that if Trump killed a baby on live TV, Trump supporters would interpret it as a hoax concocted by the news media.
 

Tater

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[MENTION=22236]OldFolksBoogie[/MENTION] I appreciate you sharing about the Halo Effect because I believe the Halo Effect has salience in how we communicate about politics and how the political landscape interacts with itself.
 

Z Buck McFate

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[MENTION=7842]Z Buck McFate[/MENTION] so basically you're saying that if Trump killed an infant on live TV than his supporters would still back him out of trust.

I believe that his supporters back him out of distrust for his enemies and detractors (ie. "the mainstream media.") So if he actually killed a baby on live TV, it would serve as "vindication" of their preexisting biases.

Six of one, half a dozen of the other? Really though, these things aren't mutually exclusive. They even kind of fuel conviction of each other.

AR-191039786.jpg


I might go back and watch the house hearings after 'the other side' has had its chance to make its own case in the senate (if it has its chance, seems the like the house is wisely trying to prevent that), until then I'm not interested for a few reasons. I find that kind of thing boring in general, regardless of what's going on. I don't trust the framing of it, and I don't trust my level of knowledge regarding law and politics to make any kind of objective opinions over what is likely a very stacked and manipulated deck. If there is a senate trial that rebuts any of it, then I will watch both to compare.

(Bolded: just admit that you do trust the GOP framing of it. At least admit that you take for granted that the GOP framing of all this is 'probably' the truth.)

Okay, so you're referring exclusively to the House. (And really, the only reason Justin Amash isn't showing up as a Republican who voted for it is because he dropped the Republican Party back in July - which he did because he found Trump's actions clearly impeachable, and he found partisan loyalties saying otherwise to be "an existential threat to American principles and institutions"). It's not clear in the Senate yet because several GOP senators refuse to present an opinion before the trial, emphasizing that it's important to go into the trial with an ability to hear the case presented (unlike McConnell, who has stated in plain terms that he has no intention of doing his job and plans to actually coordinate defense with the Trump administration instead of conducting an impartial trial).

In the general public though? Republican support for the impeachment is significantly higher than Democrat support against (I'd include links, but something tells me it's pointless - which is okay, this isn't the part I need heard anyway). This includes previous Congress members - which is important to take into account, because it affirms the theory that a lot of GOP Senators really are motivated primarily by pandering to a constituency which supports Trump. Firstly, their constituency won't like that they're voting for the impeachment. Also though? Trump smears anyone who doesn't fall in line, quite often with dishonest claims that spontaneously pop into his rancid little mind at that given moment (they aren't even clever/strategic smears, they're just juvenile and obviously compulsive). No trust in media needed, this is directly observable behavior. It's usually instantaneous for him to smear someone's character on Twitter if they aren't "loyal" or if they aren't doing what he wants them to do, and he says things that clearly aren't true. And since a big part of GOP constituency seems to get their information directly from Fox or his majesty's Twitter feed, it's really bad for GOP Senators. Jeff Flake (GOP House, retired earlier this year) has been outspoken about his opinion that if the Senate could vote anonymously, Trump would get removed. The fact that so many recently retired and/or won't be running again GOP members of Congress have spoken up about Trump's unfitness for office - even Paul Ryan, a throbbing mass of GOP incarnate, spoke up soon after retiring himself - points to there being some truth in this.

You can throw a stone in any direction and find a retired/retiring GOP member of Congress saying something about Trump's unfitness for office. Try finding a single retired/retiring Democrat member of Congress saying that Trump is actually fit for office and fellow Democrats are currently keeping this opinion to themselves to pander to their base - you won't find one.

Maybe more importantly: 'the other side' actually did have a chance to make its case. Trump ordered everyone in his administration to defy the subpoena and refuse to testify or cooperate. It's part of the reason for the second article of impeachment.

Have you ever seen The Wire? What democrats have done with impeachment seems to me to be the equivalent of "dope on the table."

I don't remember The Wire enough to remember what happened, but like I said:

me said:
I've not yet seen a single person against impeachment who can directly look at the evidence, list it and say "I do not think these are impeachable offenses." It's always just a bunch of deflections and reverting to various accusations about partisan motivations, as if there's so much certainty in that that further investigation into whether or not there was evidence isn't even necessary.

Try presenting some specific, cogent details that prove the accusation instead of simply reverting to a vague certainty in the accusations.
 

Vendrah

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There is a neat little quote from Bertrand Russel that sums it all up rather nicely: "The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt."

It is not in the nature of intelligence to provide comfort.

I like that phrase. This phrase could be "tested" through cognitive functions, it would require a minimal correlation of 0.6 between Ne and intelligence (that wouldnt auto-imply that Ne is the cognitive function with highest correlation with intelligence) (supposing that Ne is the cognitive function that relates to being full of doubt).
 

anticlimatic

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Maybe more importantly: 'the other side' actually did have a chance to make its case. Trump ordered everyone in his administration to defy the subpoena and refuse to testify or cooperate. It's part of the reason for the second article of impeachment. I don't remember The Wire enough to remember what happened, but like I said: Try presenting some specific, cogent details that prove the accusation instead of simply reverting to a vague certainty in the accusations.
The house subpoenas were never a chance for Trump to make his case. It's an easy and dishonest argument to posit, but one of the first things I learned in criminal justice was that nothing- absolutely nothing- you say to police who are investigating you can help you. It can only ever be used to fuck you. This is why we have the right to remain silent, and why we should all take advantage of that right if we have to.

How about the house presents some specific cogent details that prove their own accusations (quid pro bribery), instead of the impossibly nebulous 'abuse of power' and the non-existent crime of 'obstructing congress?' It's not Trump or republicans fault that the impeachment fishing expedition that began in early 2017 has produced this aborted and anticlimactic pair of Swiss cheese impeachment articles. Instead of trying to convince people that aren't interested in impeaching the president that the case isn't as flimsy and as blatantly partisan as it looks, they could have just made a better case (assuming there's even one to be made). As much as I'd like to see something that resembles a fair and thorough trial, one can hardly blame McConnell for just dusting it off his shoulder instead, if it's in his power to do so.
Why aren't people on the left more upset with how shitty the impeachment articles are compared to what they could have been if the lefts suspicions were true? Articles that contained actual crimes probably would have been helpful in making something/anything out of the (maybe) impeachment.

I don't believe either 'side' in this dispute because I have made living with uncertainty an art form. One thing I can't stomach though, having been a victim of it myself (by conservative evangelicals of all people), is kangaroo mob mentality justice- which goes for anyone, not just a president that I also happen to like.
 

Jaguar

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How about the house presents some specific cogent details that prove their own accusations, instead of the impossibly nebulous 'abuse of power'

Read:

Nancy Pelosi said:
The facts are uncontested. The president abused his power for his own personal political benefit at the expense of our national security, by withholding military aid and crucial Oval Office meeting in exchange for an announcement of an investigation into his political rival.

There's nothing nebulous about it unless you had a stroke over Christmas, perhaps cutting off blood supply to the brain. :newwink:
 

Tater

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Six of one, half a dozen of the other? Really though, these things aren't mutually exclusive. They even kind of fuel conviction of each other.

So you're saying that they both play a part.

I am frustrated because I believe these discussions would benefit from holistic interpretations of information and concerted dialogue.
 
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