Zarathustra
Let Go Of Your Team
- Joined
- Oct 31, 2009
- Messages
- 8,110
Yeah, I only skimmed the thread; my bad.
It happens.
I still think he's wrong![]()
You read his book?
I can see that I guess. I must admit that I have a really hard time viewing anything outside of a materialistic framework...
I have noticed.
The framework in which astrology would make sense would have to account for correlations between star movement and personality -- as in, it would have to postulate a causal link -- maybe a common cause?
The way Tarnas describes it is that it is not actually causal, but it is correlational.
He actually leans heavily on Jung's idea of synchronicity.
(As you might imagine, he's very well-versed in Jung.)
The way he describes it is that it's like a clock.
The clock doesn't determine time, it merely points to it.
Same goes for astrology: it doesn't determine what is happening, it merely corresponds to what's happening.
He actually spells this all out very clearly in his interview from 2006 with the CBC that can be found on his website:
http://www.cosmosandpsyche.com/pages/interviews/
I'd like to hear an account like this that wouldn't sound really hand-wavey or convoluted.
I thought you said you read his book?
It's very clearly spelled out in the first few chapters.
In fact, I might even be able to find them on his website (LINK)...
[will post if I find them]
I don't really know much about astrology, but why would the difference between January 19th and 20th have more effects than the difference between December 22nd and January 19th?
The location of the planets, relative to one another and relative to the astrological signs will have changed more between December 22nd and January 19th than between January 19th and 20th. Furthermore, birth time and location are also necessary, to determine the houses (of which there are 12), and thus how the planets and signs align with the houses.
I'm not 100% sure, but it sounds like you're getting tripped up by the sun sign.
That is the most common part of astrology that people are aware of: "What's your sign?"
But the sun sign is just one part of astrology, and it really isn't nearly as big a part as most people think it is.
The sun sign is like the canvas on which all the other parts of astrology are painted.
Each different stroke (as well as the canvas), combine to create a person's full astrological profile.
Many different pictures can be drawn on the same kind of canvas, and there are 12 different kinds of canvases.
(Really, there are even more, cuz, in my opinion, if you fall on the cusp of two signs, your sun sign will really be a blend of the two).
Sure, why not?
I'll need your birth date, time, and location.
If you don't want to put it in here, just rep or pm it to me.
I guess I just meant it doesn't seem consistent with current scientific theory.
It most certainly is not.
Nor is it trying to be.
And remember, as Thomas Kuhn pointed out, scientific paradigms change.
But I do think knowledge (whatever that really means) should be scientific, as in, each theoretical account of a phenomenon should be compared to other possible accounts based on consistency with data and description length.
There's a lot here to peel apart...
First off, I don't know if your account of what is scientific is indeed reflective of what makes something scientific (in the common sense).
I think the following exchange between me and Victor might be helpful in this regard:
Probably the most important thing about truth is that we are mistaken a lot of the time. Our senses deceive us. Our thoughts deceive us. Society deceives us. So we need a way to confirm or disconfirm something we perceive as true. And it is the scientific method that enable us to winnow the truth from fable, from illlusion, from delusion, from wish fulfullment, from ideology, from social imperatives, and even disinformation.
For two hundred thousand years, without the scientific method, we believed wrongly, that the Sun went round the Earth, but just recently the scientific method told us, counter-intuitively, that the Earth goes round the Sun. Who would have guessed?
And so many things the scientific method tells us are those things we could not have guessed.
Yet for two hundred thousand years we have been guessing at the truth, and now we can guess and test our guesses against evidence and reason.
And what of the things that the scientific method cannot tell us?
Seriously.
The scientific method is a way of testing guesses to see if they are false. It's called falsifiability.
We have been able to falsify the Exodus and the Mormon history of North and Cental America, because both made claims that could be falsified by archeology.
However claims that can't be falsified, such as the existence of a benevolent God, can't be tested by the scientific method.
Yes, I know this.
My question was: what of all the things that are not falsifiable?
Well, my guess is that unfalsifiable claims are ones that do not allow evidence to be gathered.
String Theory does not allow evidence to be gathered, and so is unfalsifiable, even though String Theory elegantly unites Quantum Mechanics and General Relativity.
Also experiences that are unrepeatable also seem to me to be unfalsifiable. For to gather evidence, everyone needs to be able to gather the same evidence. For instance to gather evidence of the size and charge of the electron, all of us need to gather the same evidence and apply the same reason to the evidence. So personal annecdotal experiences, not available to everyone, seem to me to be unfalsifiable.
Yes, those are both examples (one specific, one general) of things that would seem to fall into the realm of unfalsifiability. I think there are many more, too. You mentioned the one about whether there is a benevolent God. The benevolence wouldn't seem to necessarily be required, but all kinds of cosmological questions would seem to fall outside the realm of falsifiability.
Still, though (and I say this with all respect, as I appreciate that you're finally seeming to engage with me openly and honestly): you have not answered my question. While the scientific method would seem to be able to help us better understand the issues that are falsifiable, what about the ones that are not?
I ask because my impression has been that you do not regard these questions with much respect or importance.
And this has always been an issue for me with your perspective on things.
Frankly, though, I do kind of like your version, as it does seem to open itself up to narratives that would find themselves outside the realm of falsifiability, and thus, our current dominant understanding of what it means to be "scientific". In that sense, your construction would actually seem to be more scientific, in the sense that word was originally intended to mean (i.e., scientia, or knowledge).
So in order to raise my belief in astrology, I'd have to see a lot of data that fits better with astrology than determinism...
Well, first off, not all materialism need necessarily be deterministic.
And, secondly, determinism and astrology aren't necessarily incompatible.
Materialistic determinism and astrology are incompatible, but that's because of the materialistic part, not the deterministic part.
...since the description length of astrology is really high (as in, you have to use more words to explain astrology than to explain materialistic determinism).
This last part is interesting...
See, to our modern minds, I would agree, more words would have to be used to explain astrology than materialistic determinism.
But that is more a reflection of our modern cosmological view, than of the ideas of astrology and materialistic determinism themselves.
If you were to have to explain materialistic determinism to a culture where astrology were the dominant paradigm, you'd probably have to spend more words explaining materialistic determinism to them.
And, lastly, I think it's relevant to note that the primary way to gather data about astrology is to check out as many astrological charts as possible.
Just a thought.