Cold war 2.0

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Election annulment risks pouring fuel on Romania’s political blaze

Saying that this is "dramatic" is evident understatement.



Romania — National parliament voting intention

However it is happening exactly I was predicting. Since the left wing candidate didn't manage to enter into the runoffs the party is suffering serious slump in the polling for parliament. Therefore in the last poll the hard right is leading. The polling average as a whole is lagging but the hard right won the last poll. What will probably the last poll since elections for the parliament are tomorrow.


However the liberal centrist candidate is probably right when she say that the courts should be kept out of this as much as possible. Because if institutions interfere even more that could create so much politically motivated mess that the current problems will look irrelevant next to that. The only genuine way out of this is that she wins presidential elections that are next weekend. Everything else will probably end in a mess.

 

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Syrian rebels reportedly take control of half of Aleppo

Syria: Russian strikes hit Aleppo amid rebel takeover


Things in Syria are getting "interesting" once again.
The story we have all kinda forgotten by now even if the war never fully stopped.

 

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Exit poll: Ireland’s top 3 parties in dead heat in election

Georgia protests escalate, demonstrators clash with police after EU talks halted

Kosovo claims 'terrorist act' after power plant canal blast

Taiwan's Lai provokes China's ire with planned US visit

Ukraine updates: North Korea vows support for Russia's war

 

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Romanians vote as far right and Russia loom large

Georgia: Clashes outside parliament on third protest night

US suspends strategic partnership with Georgia after EU membership talks halted

Russian police raid Moscow nightclubs over 'LGBT propaganda'

Syrian army withdraws troops from Aleppo to prepare counteroffensive

 

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Romania: Ruling Social Democrats set to win elections

In other words with this result the mainstream parties should be able to form a pro EU coalition government. The only problem is that just a week before exit poll was proven to be quite wrong. So the center left candidate didn't even manage to get into the runoff that is next weekend.

We now just have to wait for the actual results.

 

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Iceland: Opposition Social Democrats win election

 

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Georgia: Mass protests grow entering fourth night

 

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Norway — National parliament voting intention

Hard right party is taking the lead in polling average (dark blue).



Slovakia — National parliament voting intention

The both parties of reformed Communists are loosing ground. However the votes aren't going towards mainstream parties. They are going towards "the republic". Which is far right party and an ally of German AfD.



Hungary — National parliament voting intention

The center right has surpassed Orban, which for the first time in many many years is on the defensive.
What means that the strongest left wing party is currently at 3%.



Czech Republic — National parliament voting intention

1. Populist right led by controversial billionaire (dominating lead)
2. Coalition of national conservative and center right parties
3. Center right
4. Far right
5. Pirate party
6. Communist party



There is more but I will keep it at this.
In the whole Europe the mainstream left and the center are loosing ground evidently and pretty quickly. Like the whole social model is breaking down and coming to an end.

 

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The French prime minister will likely fall this week. So then what?

The political mess in France continues.

 

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Romania’s pro-EU parties hold off far right in parliamentary vote

Pro-Moscow nationalist heads to Romania presidential runoff after court greenlights first round


More on the mess in Romania.

 

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Romania’s Trump sets his sights on foreign companies

“It’s about the vision — that’s what I want written — a vision for peace and a vision for how it was America first, Romania has to be first,”

The CURS polling agency gives Georgescu a robust lead in the second-round run off, predicting he will win 57.8 percent of the vote.

Feel free to read the details but in Romania it is evidently 2016.
What means that the centrist lady should lose this by something like 15 points. Just as I said "This will be like Hillary in Kentucky".

 

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French government no-confidence vote set for Wednesday

Barnier is likely to lose that vote as the left-wing New Popular Front coalition and the far-right National Front have both said they would vote against the government. Together, the two opposition forces command a majority in parliament.

This is actually major drama that can disrupt global economy fairly quickly. It seems that the government will be voted out but new majority can't really be found in the parliament as it is. While snap election aren't possible towards the law since there were snap elections just a few months ago.

 

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Defiant Macron says he won’t resign, doubles down on Barnier’s survival

A this will be the shit show for tomorrow's episode.