Virtual ghost
Complex paradigm
- Joined
- Jun 6, 2008
- Messages
- 22,141
Well, we will see what happens. As it goes with most life events, it's all well beyond our control or influence. Trump did try to address the impact free trade has on domestic production/employment, but I was never a fan of his strategy. I'd have rather seen a more robust overhaul and enforcement of anti-trust laws to help domestic business, particularly small business, thrive and compete more fairly. Something, anything, to address the problem of crony capitalism- which everyone, left right and center, could get behind. As a political outsider he gave it a shot and came up short, I just hope we can get some more political outsiders elected some day to try again. What I see from the left as far as solutions go is no different from what I see from crony capitalists, they just want to give all the power to the government instead of private institutions, despite the fact that the government would be essentially the same- but worse- at managing such a behemoth of power, as it always has, everywhere, throughout history (authoritarian hell-hole systems being disqualified of course). The same blow to incentive regarding innovation competition and production would apply to government control as it would to crony capitalist control, except there would never be even any possibility for competition against the government, so I consider that the worse path. I'd like to see some system enforced that's closer to the ideals of america's founding, where individuals- small businesses- are allowed and encouraged to thrive. Some system where power remained decentralized, as the founders originally intended. I think that is the original american dream.
This is kinda great on paper but it completely missed in the domains of strategy and history.
In other words towards founding fathers you should have lost ww2, but instead you went into the other direction and in the end you won. Since literally the whole nation worked toward a common goal for the sake of your army and your allies. Without this massive transformation there would simply be a lost cause. After all even like this it was still fairly close call at one point. However today with the alliance of Russia and China you basically have the same problem. How will small business stand up to the China's companies that work for much less, there is more of them, they have financial support of their government as well as Russian oil and nukes. Please explain me how this should work as a counter to them in taking over the third world and all of it's resources ? How will you preserve petro-dollar that is one of the pillars of your entire economy with your approach ? With who you will trade once you lose most of the world with exception of your closest allies ? (many of those are also under question at this point, if anything simply because the deals are better at the east). The sum of all debt in US is around 80.2 Trillion $ at this point and melting this out without access to the most of the world basically means certain economic implosion. Actually all these bad years are basically just the consequences of the loss of influence/impact all over the world.
That was mostly strategy and now History.
From what I get you basically claim that authoritarian governments can't really be innovative, what is strange argument to make. Do you honestly think that either Japan or Germany would resisted you for years that they weren't pretty technologically innovative and practical ? First cruise missile attack in history was done by Germany against UK during ww2. Or how did they gas all those people if they didn't understand chemistry ? The same goes for fueling their tanks and ships. Primitive mind can't build a submarine but towards history books they were quite a pain in the ass with them towards the Allies. On the other hand first man is space was a Soviet, the same goes for the first satellite. Why was US living for decades on alert ? Is it perhaps because USSR found a way how to hit you from the other side of the world ? (what they can still do btw.). Those are just the most iconic inventions but there are thousands and thousand more that were made by authoritarian regimes. If this weren't the case the whole world today would be one big America and that evidently isn't the case. What returns us to the present, based on what I have seen China over the last 30 years increased the value of it's economy for 26 times (2600%) Therefore with that they became the second largest economy in value and they grow fast further. While in practical physical sense they are maybe already the first. After all they made a whole series of domestic high tech products with which they are taking over the world. However they did that while not having any kind of elections or democratic representative system.
The idea that authoritarian system can't be innovative or stable is simply false. Especially now when the various regimes realized that it is possible to merge authoritarianism and consumerism into a very productive mix. Where the state/regime mimics the free market. Another tilt is that education requires more and more time, expertise and cooperation in order to create complex high tech product. What evidently favors the big and complex systems. You just can't improvise smart phone in your backyard or basement from scratch and dirt. Why there is so much talk about China's 5G ? Because it is the most sophisticated one and fairly cheap, plus they are working on 6G. Modern technology and therefore economy simply requires groups to move forward. US never encountered the opponent that has 4 times more people while it is technologically equal or superior. Plus it also has quite a number of powerful allies that are also nuclear powers and rich in resources. Back in a day you had to distort your entire economy so that in combination with Russians you remove one little Hitler/Germany and their local allies from the map. Therefore today if you want to keep global presence and relevance you will need to do even more, since the opponent is much much bigger and sophisticated this time.
As you say " we will see". But if "the founding fathers" is the master plan I am fairly certain that I can guess how this whole saga will end.