I'm not ready to go blackpilled, personally, although I can't speak for anyone except myself. I'm really glad I went out and drank with people watching the results rather than sat alone and watch the results. Fuck, I even figured out how to approach strangers in that situation.
I'm not a person who gives up very easily (not that it's always a good thing).
Bernie is not going to get the nomination.
After tonight the chances are extremely slim. People should keep working towards it because a slim chance is still worth fighting for. That said, I'm being realistic. It's not going to happen. He won't get enough delegates, and the DNC won't allow him to have it without plurality. Why? Because they are collectively so scared of the permanent breakdown of this country's political system if Trump remains in
and the wrong person takes his place. Half of them are against sanders fundamentally due to ignorance and corporate ideology. Many are Republicans undercover. They're lost causes, and quite frankly can go fuck themselves and are a large portion of the problem.
The other half have real concerns that are two fold, one I actually strongly agree with and is the core reason I am wary of Sanders. First, they only trust someone with extreme first-hand experience to undo the internal domestic damage trump caused, and to do it in fast and stable way. Bernie could do this, but they don't want to risk it since him and his replacement won't entirely play to domestic norms. It's a fair discussion and debate to have, and one I am not entirely decided on myself. The other more pressing matter is foreign policy. The DNC fundamentally don't trust Sanders do undo the severe foreign policy damage and broken diplomatic relations Trump caused. They (rightfully so) see only Biden as the one who can pull this off. Foreign policy is by far the most complicated issue, and one that the general public has the weakest understanding of, as well as (particularly in the current era) the voters don't care about. Largely out of necessity because domestic issues are so bad there is simply no room to care. The fact of the matter is though, the world does exist on a global political stage. Unlike on a domestic level where we have fairly decent power to change and modify norms, globally we
don't. As dumb and boring as it is, the world does NOT trust this country, or its leaders anymore, and they have good reason to believe so. Simply putting someone new in is not going to change that overnight. It's going to take years and years and years of very diplomatic massaging to get back to a more level center. It's so frustratingly dumb (because it
shouldn't matter), but it really matters a lot who is in charge. There is little reason to think world leaders are going to respect sanders or his decisions, nor is there much of a reason to believe Sanders would make the correct moves against our largest global advesaries; Russia and China. He's more likely to be ineffectual, or overstep and impart retalliation. Given Sander's reputation of sticking to his guns, a lot of politicans assume he'll operate in a similar way on foreign policy matters, and you
can't do that. I'm not sure if he would, I want him to do it well but a big portion of me thinks he'll bungle it.
The extenstial threat that Russia has over us, and the world is
staggeringly massive. The public really don't have a sense of this because there are no ground wars that are visible, and much of it is more "hidden". The public isn't able to know the details of Foreign policy out of necessity. The DNC has a lot of experience with individuals who spend their lives on it, and one of their major mistakes is not communicating this. They are
really terrible at communicating this message and it is one of their greatest follies. Worse, it's only a small portion within the DNC that get's this. One of the better things the Obama administration did was manage foreign policy well. Perfect, hell no, but it
was done well for the hand that was dealt. Biden was involved with it, so they have legitimate precedent and trust that he would be able to repair much of that, and continue that work. They're really scared (for good reason) that if this isn't fixed properly everything else is going to go belly up. Like it or not foreign policy is a bedrock item we have to care for. To them, the situation is so do-or-die that they will overrule what they see as a naïve and uninformed voting block to secure those bedrock items.
In many ways, the US has so many severe problems. Many decades in the works, and many more caused by trump. It is impossible to fix all of them fast enough, which is a major reason why I think this country is toast; it's just a question of how. If Biden gets it, we'll at least have a return to foreign policy safety, but our domestic issue will rot and explode sort or rendering that security moot. Sanders would more likely fix our domestic problems and start us on a road to recovery, but there's a real chance he could ignorance-influenced misstep or simply neglect foreign relations and diplomacy causing that to implode, which would render things at home moot (but probably on a delayed timescale).
And none of this even touches climate change, so it probably is all for naught.
