Virtual ghost
Complex paradigm
- Joined
- Jun 6, 2008
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- Several Russian financial, economic, and military indicators suggest that Russia is preparing for a large-scale conventional conflict with NATO, not imminently but likely on a shorter timeline than what some Western analysts have initially posited.
- The Russian military continues to undertake structural reforms to simultaneously support the war in Ukraine while expanding Russia’s conventional capabilities in the long term in preparation for a potential future large-scale conflict with NATO.
- GUR reportedly conducted a drone strike against a Russian air base in Saratov Oblast on March 20 amid further indications that Ukrainian drone strikes within Russia are achieving limited asymmetric effects against Russian military assets and economic output.
- Kremlin-affiliated actors in the pro-Russian Moldovan autonomous region of Gagauzia are invoking narratives that mirror previous Russian claims about Ukraine in the years leading up to Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine, likely as part of the Kremlin’s wider hybrid efforts to destabilize Moldova.
Polish President Andrzej Duda emphasized in a March 20 interview with CNBC that Putin is intensifying efforts to shift Russia to a war economy with the intention of being able to attack NATO as early as 2026 or 2027, citing unspecified German research.[7] Danish Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen stated on February 9 that new intelligence indicates that Russia may attempt to attack a NATO country within three to five years, an accelerated timeline from NATO’s reported assessment in 2023.
That all seems crazy to me. Russia would get crushed in any conventional war with NATO. Russia is benefiting from NATO incompetence as they paly real politic. NATO (even ex USA assuming Trump is at the helm) would easily destroy Russia if they were attacked and thereby galvanized to fight.
Right now, Russia can rattle their nuclear sabre and spineless NATO cowers on cue. That only works if NATO is left alone and politicians can play their games. But even today's clueless masses would get irked if bombs started falling on them.
On top of that, team blue being militarily "superior" to team red does not imply that a potential war would be over soon or wouldn't cause an enormous number of casualties. Some tend to forget that. Germany vs world was doomed from the start but, heck, it took a lot of time and e whole lot of blood.It isn't that simple. In other words: since he is preparing for possible open war he is boosting his friends and pawns around NATO. Since then they can run on the basis of "we will talk to him before things get out of hand". However if those people manage to get into some kind of high office they create havoc (see posts about my president). You are from the country has doesn't have a substantial pro-Russia party so all of this doesn't make too much sense to you. But in wider picture it does make sense if you are playing hybrid games.
On top of that, team blue being militarily "superior" to team red does not imply that a potential war would be over soon or wouldn't cause an enormous number of casualties. Some tend to forget that. Germany vs world was doomed from the start but, heck, it took a lot of time and e whole lot of blood.