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08-08-2008, 06:35 PM
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#12 (permalink) |
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My termites win
Join Date: Aug 2007
Type: intp
Location: North of somewhere (so not the south pole)
Posts: 3,203
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On the Today Show, Adrew Bernard, Professor of Economics at Tuck School of Business made medal count predictions.
Total Medal Count U.S.A 105 Russia 92 China 81 Germany 51 Australia 49 Gold Medal Count China 37 U.S.A. 36 Russia 25 Japan 17 Australia 16 He used the following formula: Mit=α*ln(Popit)+β*ln(Income/pop)it+δ*Mit-1 +γ*Hostt It was hard to read because of the font used. But if I read it correctly, it is a fairly simple emperical formula. It seems like α, β, δ and γ are empirical constants. The inputs are the population, income, the previous medal count, and whether or not the country is a host country. msnbc.com Video Player
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sloan+ Rxua|I|; primary Inquisitive; R(82%)L(52%)U(62%)A(54%)I(86%) CTO of IPTN (see Maverick's Sig.) and member of Maverick's Biker Club. Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future. My Blog I linked some of your blogs; if you feel that is inappropriate, please let me know. |
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08-09-2008, 03:02 AM
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#15 (permalink) |
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nucking futs
Join Date: Apr 2007
Type: INTP
Location: somewhere
Posts: 1,489
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I loved watching the opening ceremony (I don't usually, but I liked it this time).
My favourites to watch are gymnastics and diving.
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...so much smoke pouring out of each chromosome. |
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08-09-2008, 04:18 AM
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#17 (permalink) | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: May 2008
Type: ENFP
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 149
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Quote:
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It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it. |
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08-09-2008, 07:03 AM
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#18 (permalink) | |
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My termites win
Join Date: Aug 2007
Type: intp
Location: North of somewhere (so not the south pole)
Posts: 3,203
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Quote:
It wasn't clear what was meant by "96% success rate." Does it mean he gets the medal count order correct 96 percent of the time? Or does it mean that |actual-predicted|/predicted<0.04? Does it take into account project 119? I don't know. The guy was basically brought out like a freak-show exhibit. I thought it would be rather intersting to ask follow-up questions, but unlike other spots where there are just simple, chatty questions that filled in details. It turned into an exhibition of bubbleheadedness by the journalists.
__________________
sloan+ Rxua|I|; primary Inquisitive; R(82%)L(52%)U(62%)A(54%)I(86%) CTO of IPTN (see Maverick's Sig.) and member of Maverick's Biker Club. Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future. My Blog I linked some of your blogs; if you feel that is inappropriate, please let me know. |
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08-09-2008, 07:15 AM
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#19 (permalink) |
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Metalife
Join Date: Apr 2007
Type: ISTP
Location: Among the jasmine
Posts: 1,052
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Just finished the pre-taped Opening Ceremonies on the west coast. I <3 Bob Costas.
__________________
"In their youth, no one realizes that the trees that stretch into the sky are, at the same time, sending their roots deeper and deeper into the earth." - Noriko Ogiwara
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08-09-2008, 07:35 AM
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#20 (permalink) | |
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My termites win
Join Date: Aug 2007
Type: intp
Location: North of somewhere (so not the south pole)
Posts: 3,203
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Quote:
__________________
sloan+ Rxua|I|; primary Inquisitive; R(82%)L(52%)U(62%)A(54%)I(86%) CTO of IPTN (see Maverick's Sig.) and member of Maverick's Biker Club. Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future. My Blog I linked some of your blogs; if you feel that is inappropriate, please let me know. |
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