FiveThirtyEight Blog - Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
The race for the 2016 presidency has officially begun with the announcement that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is running for the republican nomination. There have been a number of news articles going around pointing this out and analyzing it. That said, I find that this article sums it up best.
His goose is already cooked. The article clearly lays out why he'll never get far. He doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell at winning the nomination. The article suggests that he might even know this, and is just doing this to get a media platform. To what end is anyones guess. The fact that he is running though is going to change the dynamic significantly of the republican side of the race. He is loud and garners attention is liable to be a major distraction and directing point to what the conversations are about. Unfortunately, it's likely to hurt the republican party a lot by doing so. The vast majority on both sides of the aisle regards that you have to have complete mush for brains to agree, support, or believe him. Yet, they seem powerless to put a stop to him. It seems like they have managed to put somewhat of a gag on him, but not to a strong effect. With his announcement, that's pretty much gone.First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs.
Second, Cruz has an electability problem. You can see this on two fronts: ideology and polling.
This brings us to our third and final point: In addition to GOP politicians and the overall public, Cruz has been deemed unpresidential by Republican voters, too.
Ultimately, my reaction upon seeing him announce his run was: .