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Thread: The BRIC

  1. #11
    Senior Member lowtech redneck's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lark View Post
    What's the problem in central and southern europe? Is it an aging population too? I didnt think the eastern european nations had a problem with that, not the polish at least, a lot of the european nations which are pretty RC still have good birth rates.

    I'm actually happy to hear about Russia, its good to know that the crimes or errors of totalitarianism will have some impact after the fact, if its clear that state social engineering and controlling patterns damage the survival prospects of the nation itself perhaps there'll be less of it in the future.
    1.) Actually, of the traditionally Roman Catholic countries, only Ireland and France have decent fertility rates (the latter's demographics probably has very little to do with its Catholic heritage). Here's a list showing TFR's from 2000-2005, and from 2005-2010: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...fertility_rate

    2.) One can hope, but I don't think a drastically weakened Russia is in the long-term interests of the West; it gives a waxing China too much of an advantage in Central Asia and the Pacific coast. They are currently allies, but their alliance has fallen apart before. Honestly, though, there just doesn't seem to be much of a correlation between regime history and Total Fertility Rates. Its a mystery that sup-replacement countries urgently need to address, however.

  2. #12
    pathwise dependent FDG's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lowtech redneck View Post
    1.) Actually, of the traditionally Roman Catholic countries, only Ireland and France have decent fertility rates (the latter's demographics probably has very little to do with its Catholic heritage). Here's a list showing TFR's from 2000-2005, and from 2005-2010: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...fertility_rate
    Catholic heritage has nothing to do with fertility rates, most of these contries went through high fertility phases which collimated with the high religiosity, while still being catholic.
    ENTj 7-3-8 sx/sp

  3. #13
    Senior Member lowtech redneck's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by FDG View Post
    Catholic heritage has nothing to do with fertility rates, most of these contries went through high fertility phases which collimated with the high religiosity, while still being catholic.
    Yep, the fertility rate dropped precipitously in the Iberian countries over the last couple of generations, along with church attendence. That doesn't really explain the differences between that region and the UK or Scandinavia, though...also, Italy and Poland still have relatively high church attendance rates, but low fertility rates. Its a puzzle.

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