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  1. #11
    Senior Member Rachelinpa's Avatar
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    EXCITED!

  2. #12

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    On the Today Show, Adrew Bernard, Professor of Economics at Tuck School of Business made medal count predictions.

    Total Medal Count
    U.S.A 105
    Russia 92
    China 81
    Germany 51
    Australia 49

    Gold Medal Count
    China 37
    U.S.A. 36
    Russia 25
    Japan 17
    Australia 16

    He used the following formula:
    Mit=?*ln(Popit)+?*ln(Income/pop)it+?*Mit-1 +?*Hostt

    It was hard to read because of the font used. But if I read it correctly, it is a fairly simple emperical formula. It seems like ?, ?, ? and ? are empirical constants. The inputs are the population, income, the previous medal count, and whether or not the country is a host country.

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    Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future.
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    "[A] scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy." Richard Feynman
    "[P]etabytes of [] data is not the same thing as understanding emergent mechanisms and structures." Jim Crutchfield

  3. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by ygolo View Post
    I watched the gymnastics on TV, and I still think it was the most competitive sporting event I have seen.
    2003 TDF

  4. #14
    No moss growing on me Giggly's Avatar
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    I'm excited too!

  5. #15
    Senior Member bluebell's Avatar
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    I loved watching the opening ceremony (I don't usually, but I liked it this time).

    My favourites to watch are gymnastics and diving.
    ...so much smoke pouring out of each chromosome.

  6. #16
    Scream down the boulevard LadyJaye's Avatar
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    The ceremony was quite colorful! And geographically, it was quite an education. I always have to be reminded that Montenegro isn't a French-held island nation.

  7. #17
    Senior Member VanillaCat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ygolo View Post
    On the Today Show, Adrew Bernard, Professor of Economics at Tuck School of Business made medal count predictions.
    Wow, they can do that? I guess we'll see if it's right...
    It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.

  8. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by VanillaCat View Post
    Wow, they can do that? I guess we'll see if it's right...
    Well, I don't know if they can or not.

    It wasn't clear what was meant by "96% success rate." Does it mean he gets the medal count order correct 96 percent of the time? Or does it mean that |actual-predicted|/predicted<0.04?

    Does it take into account project 119?

    I don't know.

    The guy was basically brought out like a freak-show exhibit. I thought it would be rather intersting to ask follow-up questions, but unlike other spots where there are just simple, chatty questions that filled in details. It turned into an exhibition of bubbleheadedness by the journalists.

    Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future.
    Robot Fusion
    "As our island of knowledge grows, so does the shore of our ignorance." John Wheeler
    "[A] scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy." Richard Feynman
    "[P]etabytes of [] data is not the same thing as understanding emergent mechanisms and structures." Jim Crutchfield

  9. #19
    The Destroyer Colors's Avatar
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    Just finished the pre-taped Opening Ceremonies on the west coast. I <3 Bob Costas.

  10. #20

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    Quote Originally Posted by Colors View Post
    Just finished the pre-taped Opening Ceremonies on the west coast. I <3 Bob Costas.
    I just finished it myself too. Bob Costas has always struck me as a very professional, articulate sports reporter.

    Accept the past. Live for the present. Look forward to the future.
    Robot Fusion
    "As our island of knowledge grows, so does the shore of our ignorance." John Wheeler
    "[A] scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy." Richard Feynman
    "[P]etabytes of [] data is not the same thing as understanding emergent mechanisms and structures." Jim Crutchfield

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