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Thread: NFL Playoffs

  1. #1
    Senior Member swordpath's Avatar
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    Default NFL Playoffs

    I don't have much to add, but I just want to say I'm rooting for the Seahawks. Man last week's game/victory over the Saints was so, so sweet. I think it was "beginners luck" and they'll get pounced this next game against the Bears, but here's to hoping.

    Who are you rooting for? Are you following closely or are you a bandwagon fan? Predictions?

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    Senior Member INTPness's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beat View Post
    I don't have much to add, but I just want to say I'm rooting for the Seahawks. Man last week's game/victory over the Saints was so, so sweet. I think it was "beginners luck" and they'll get pounced this next game against the Bears, but here's to hoping.

    Who are you rooting for? Are you following closely or are you a bandwagon fan? Predictions?
    It's not really "beginner's luck" - it's not like these guys just started playing football last month, and it can't really be compared to a kid "accidentally" hitting a home run in his first baseball game. These guys aren't beginners. They're the very best players in the world. Even though Seattle was a lowly 7-9 during the regular season, it is normally not an easy task to win on the road. You woudn't guess that based just on last weeks games, as 3 road teams won out of 4 games. New Orleans is clearly the better team but because of the way the playoffs are structured, they had to go into Seattle and win that game and that makes it a much more difficult task. IMO, Seattle should not have gotten a home game, even though they won their division. Giving them a home game is a horrible way to reward a team for going 7-9 during the regular season. But, all 32 NFL teams are VERY GOOD (full of talent) and when they have 50,000+ roaring fans behind them, motivating them on, the home team can win even if they're much worse than the other team. If that game was in New Orleans it would have been a MUCH different game and outcome.

    I'd love to see a 7-9 regular season team in the Super Bowl though. That would be hilarious. But, I don't see it happening. I think Seattle will either lose a close game this week or else will get exposed in a big way. I just can't see them winning in Chicago, but we'll see. I'm rooting for all 7 teams besides New England. If the Patriots don't win the Super Bowl, I'll be happy as a football fan.
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    Senior Member You's Avatar
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    Everybody worth watching got kicked out. The only team I'm looking out for is New England and the Jets. I dont like how Michael Vick got kicked out so early. The playoffs are playing out as a real bore fest.

  4. #4

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    My team is out, so my interest is a bit muted. I also don't think the Seahawks' victory is any kind of beginner's luck. They're not better than the Saints, either. It's just that a lot of trends converged in that game that favored the Seahawks.

    1. They were at home, and statistically have the best home-field advantage in the NFL by a significant margin.
    2. The Saints are a dome team, and dome teams historically struggle outdoors on the road in the playoffs.
    3. The Saints were exceptionally banged up, even by the standards of the end of the year when every team is banged up. Their top two running backs were hurt coming into the game, and their next two left the game with injuries. They also missed one of their best defenders, Malcolm Jenkins.
    4. The Seahawks took advantage of Jenkins' injury by repeatedly targeting Roman Harper with success.
    5. The Seahawks, knowing that they are not talented enough to beat the Saints by playing it safe, pulled out a couple of trick plays and risky plays. Those gambles paid off.

    This is why I won money on the Seahawks

    For the record, none of these advantages carry over into the Seahawks' game with the Bears. They did beat the Bears in Chicago this season, but the Bears were a very different team then. I expect the Bears to enjoy the comfortable victory most expected from the Saints.
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    Senior Member INTPness's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by EffEmDoubleyou View Post
    My team is out, so my interest is a bit muted. I also don't think the Seahawks' victory is any kind of beginner's luck. They're not better than the Saints, either. It's just that a lot of trends converged in that game that favored the Seahawks.

    1. They were at home, and statistically have the best home-field advantage in the NFL by a significant margin.
    2. The Saints are a dome team, and dome teams historically struggle outdoors on the road in the playoffs.
    3. The Saints were exceptionally banged up, even by the standards of the end of the year when every team is banged up. Their top two running backs were hurt coming into the game, and their next two left the game with injuries. They also missed one of their best defenders, Malcolm Jenkins.
    4. The Seahawks took advantage of Jenkins' injury by repeatedly targeting Roman Harper with success.
    5. The Seahawks, knowing that they are not talented enough to beat the Saints by playing it safe, pulled out a couple of trick plays and risky plays. Those gambles paid off.

    This is why I won money on the Seahawks

    For the record, none of these advantages carry over into the Seahawks' game with the Bears. They did beat the Bears in Chicago this season, but the Bears were a very different team then. I expect the Bears to enjoy the comfortable victory most expected from the Saints.
    Nice pick on the Seahawks. Moneyline or ATS? That spread was ridiculous.
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  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by INTPness View Post
    Nice pick on the Seahawks. Moneyline or ATS? That spread was ridiculous.
    ATS. I'm not THAT good. :p
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    Senior Member INTPness's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by EffEmDoubleyou View Post
    ATS. I'm not THAT good. :p
    Would have been a nice payoff though!
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    Senior Member swordpath's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by INTPness View Post
    It's not really "beginner's luck" - it's not like these guys just started playing football last month, and it can't really be compared to a kid "accidentally" hitting a home run in his first baseball game. These guys aren't beginners. They're the very best players in the world.
    Obviously... I mean these are NFL players. What I meant by "beginners luck" was that their first game of the playoffs was a good one and their win: highly unexpected. I don't expect them to advance past the Bears - "beginner's luck".

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    Honor Thy Inferior Such Irony's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beat View Post
    Obviously... I mean these are NFL players. What I meant by "beginners luck" was that their first game of the playoffs was a good one and their win: highly unexpected. I don't expect them to advance past the Bears - "beginner's luck".
    I think its unlikely they'll beat the Bears. But who says they can't have another unexpected victory? I'd like to see the Seahawks win the Super Bowl. Highly unlikely that will happen but would be interesting.

    If not the Seahawks, than the Patriots.
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  10. #10
    Senior Member swordpath's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SuchIrony View Post
    I think its unlikely they'll beat the Bears. But who says they can't have another unexpected victory? I'd like to see the Seahawks win the Super Bowl. Highly unlikely that will happen but would be interesting.

    If not the Seahawks, than the Patriots.
    I was on board with this post until you mentioned the Patriots.

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